If 2018 the assimilate to of market of global foreign currency first half of the year ball game of a world cup: So be in those who experienced begin head 15 minutes " 3 broad ax " hind, the money that be not the United States was held by dollar firmly on field active. And nowadays, dollar hand is holding huge dominant position, be about to end first half!
This week, the market will be greeted 2018 last weeks of first half of the year. So a lot of investor expect, global economy advance side by side- do two or more things at once can drive the market to go tall and weaken a dollar, but in light of the circumstance from now, what economy does not have the expect when the beginning of the year apparently is so synchronous.
In fact, system of the economy that be not the United States appears currently domestic home has this difficult recite scriptures. Chinese economic norms is gliding stage by stage, put together of Shanghai of Chinese stock market points to begin to be defeated downward; British Central Bank is retreated Europe is done so that bind a hand to bind a foot; The conference record that the near future announces shows, australia couplet store what hope, both neither is bay yuan appreciate, also be not interest rate to lift; European Central Bank announces to while the end quantifies loose policy, be reduced on the closest conference grow beforehand appraise, do not be clear that they are to announcing to win or admit to fail after all.
In fact, system of the economy that be not the United States appears currently domestic home has this difficult recite scriptures. Chinese economic norms is gliding stage by stage, put together of Shanghai of Chinese stock market points to begin to be defeated downward; British Central Bank is retreated Europe is done so that bind a hand to bind a foot; The conference record that the near future announces shows, australia couplet store what hope, both neither is bay yuan appreciate, also be not interest rate to lift; European Central Bank announces to while the end quantifies loose policy, be reduced on the closest conference grow beforehand appraise, do not be clear that they are to announcing to win or admit to fail after all.
Most those who hit the mark is probably, official of Japanese Central Bank crosses Zuo exert near future to bemoan before QQE policy fails to carry brace up Japanese prices rises, express " arrived proper time, must abandon. Must abandon..
In addition, again inflation trades warm up impetus also gets on certain level it seems that beautiful couplet store the concussion of constrictive policy. Constrictive measure was not abroad market money rate and policy normalization to level road, allow other economy system however instead by beautiful couplet store the weakness that comes to what place of loose monetary policy masks for years is exposed come out.
These economic system are answering beautiful couplet hard now store the fluidity that exits stimulative step to cause drops foreground, but up to now this did not prevent beautiful couplet store footstep. Beautiful couplet store Er of chairman Bao Wei admitted these risks, but it is certain to state the anguish that to its policy may bring has patient degree. About the international market be anxious, beautiful couplet store policy statement had been taken in finishing stroke only June.
Can foreknow, want beautiful couplet only store maintain this to plant with the policy of other Central Bank bright contrast, the passageway that the dollar rises considerably is open, may drive a dollar to pick up to 2016 the high point of end, policy difference becomes market subject last time is 2016 end.
In fact, system of the economy that be not the United States appears currently domestic home has this difficult recite scriptures. Chinese economic norms is gliding stage by stage, put together of Shanghai of Chinese stock market points to begin to be defeated downward; British Central Bank is retreated Europe is done so that bind a hand to bind a foot; The conference record that the near future announces shows, australia couplet store what hope, both neither is bay yuan appreciate, also be not interest rate to lift; European Central Bank announces to while the end quantifies loose policy, be reduced on the closest conference grow beforehand appraise, do not be clear that they are to announcing to win or admit to fail after all.
Sino-US between custom duty animosity is deepened increasingly, look be like is to ignite a dollar newest a fusee that rise, however the fact is, beautiful couplet store tighten up policy and dollar financing fluidity increasingly rare be short of, without can avoid the ground to bring up a dollar to go up the result that the trend quickens. Dollar financing liquidity is thin the circumstance that be short of, from beautiful debt circulation cruel add look clearly especially.
A variety of element overlay already caused disease of occurrence backtrack of global money market group. Quantify comfortable come near 10 years, the market reviews already at abundant dollar fluidity. Hold cost rises nowadays, main area also does not make abroad and macroscopical economy the person is enchanted, forcing investor make friends to make the same score again inflation trades.
Although this kind of make friends makes the same score an operation only then the flimsy industry at rising market and high income credit, go up as the dollar nevertheless situation advance step by step, the symptom will have the possibility that spreads to asset of other main aspect. Go up when the dollar situation when obtaining kinetic energy, climb in market financing cost rise to will create link of feedback of a kind of pressure, fear will be opposite commodity price and the economic system of Yang Lai heavy goods constitute menace, even, world main stock market also cannot escape by sheer luck. The dollar rises so that jump over fast, fiercer, consequence is met more serious.
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