I go back to the motherland from the United States, in Shenzhen Sha Jing did poineering work now this factory, the treatment that basically is engaged in electronic circuit is made. Pour into the yard of 6 years of painstaking effort, announce to go bankrupt today closed down! I did not run road, I know, besides big environment objective element, I am responsible also.
The cost of the factory is climbed year after year litre, profit fell negative number! The workshop 2011 year hire is 150 thousand, had gone up to near 500 thousand now! Electronic factory is a girl for the most part previously, less and less now, the boy is enrolled hard also, order also is done do not come out. Alas, early two years the friend persuades me to fry a room, do not deliver fund in the factory, I did not listen at that time, be in only south hill bought a house.
Under the circumstances, I also must admit defeat, appear, default supplier and worker pay to wait all and paid, be in charge of fully 300 much. Sold equipment, an utterly inadequate method in dealing with a severe situation! Sold the house of Shenzhen, can return money not only, still can remain 150 much, affairs of human life gets a person!
20 years ago, becoming a boss is the honor with a showing the utmost fortitude, careladen expensive work, nowadays, did manufacturing industry boss to be become however special not the life choice of be to one's profit.
Present mill boss, very exploit the person's cap, not only did not make money, tired still even bad body compensate money!
If still can be chosen now afresh, I choose the person that make a free profession certainly! Can go helping others do make product promotion, perhaps fry play foreign exchange, perhaps do each media person namely, it is right choice!
1
The mill boss that falling into enemy hands
Beside me, it is with me age differs mostly those who as if. A few days ago the trade that a friend just ended to struggle 5 years, without salary, do not have sunset night, annual even deficit hundred thousands of, this is so called boss!
One learns to grow to do building materials in devoted 2013 ten million, now also is half-dead, do not have a road ahead, regressive also do not have a road, boiling in that!
A friend made 10 years of plants, controlled the house last year go up loan, what reckon loan also is spent now is about the same, also be euqally forward back down without the road without the door. Beside a lot of be in awkwardness and helpless condition gradually with age person, depend on learning ability to be not worth on one hand, these the speed of the iteration of pattern of trade of speed be not a patch on of year of ability promotion; On the other hand, the outspread condition that the market had been once upon a time no longer, begin to stabilize however, partial domain begins systole!
No matter beside the person of understanding, still can publishing the big company that the data knows, indebted rate is in leap! This is a your person be anxious and anxiety affection!
Prairie dry season came, only the halest antelope ability comes down alive, the head is only clever the cheetah ability with nimble body comes down alive! This applies to the economic domain ~ of instantly
2
Open the cost account of a factory
As a result of operation cost tall look forward to, present enterprise is in surviving itself with respect to pressure very big! Myself deal already more than 10 years, remember most when beginning, tens of thousands of money can begin deal, standard of salary of chummage, personnel, duty is lost lower, and whole market is in expand condition, below this kind of circumstance, the surviving probability of small company is very high, what even if do the business of million every year only,can live is pretty good!
This kind of circumstance differs greatly today!
If open a firm, rent the office room with a little perhaps the facade of a shop, plus 35 people, the fundamental operation expenses of this company is about annual 3389, if need mat endowment to perhaps control stock, how much doesn't the fundamental cost of need know!
Off-the-peg example does day cat shop namely. Inn of cat of a day, need customer service 2 people, art design one person, operation one person, office place a few smooth, the capital that brush sheet 10 come 10 thousand, this has been most the structure with the simplest basics. Open cat of a day so, do not prepare big hundred thousands of be to play not to turn, and the opportunity of your success gain is very low! Come down alive 10 do not put one!
If 800 thousand of the capital of your preparation, partner has only, so cost circumstance how?
Press capital year accrual 5% computation, 800 thousand can receive income 40 thousand, namely every month more than 3000. If this partner goes doing a general work, if salary standard is 5000 yuan / month, year of so potential profit it is 100 thousand yuan.
Be in now this is both make a balance, it is the operation that go all lengths inn of cat of a day, do not have the job of sunset night, prepare somebody to resign he supports at any time on, want newlywed person of invite applications for a job again, groom even management, throw 800 thousand wrestle an unknown, reliable still receive income of 100 thousand cash every year?
It is choice latter of course. A person is OK assemble 800 thousand cash, can operation a company, ability cannot be 5000 yuan of levels of a month, is every monthly wages reachs 10 thousand right-and-left level at least. So him operation a project, potential loss is annual 200 thousand, this is the truth!
3
If be a small shop, criterion the circumstance has change again!
The investment level of factory of a coolie 1.8 million want, this has been cannot again the factory of LOW. Employ 10 come a worker also be a fundamental level, hire workshop to also need 1000 smooth left and right sides. Employ 10 come a worker, so administrator, should deserve to go up with odd, accountant, cashier, the salesperson also should have so 3 two. Press this configuration, of every month is at least 15 -- the fixed charge of 200 thousand.
If be treatment model factory, gross profit is opposite taller, but running water is not done, every month writtens guarantee the treatment order of 200 thousand above is very difficult.
If be his,make product sale, so construction of product development, sale channel, interior management, exhibition hall is revealed want to catch up with, fixed investment is about to break up time, the defray of every month is about 25 -- 300 thousand.
If make the profit of a product,be 20% , the cost need of 250 thousand is sold every months 1.25 million (annual 13.75 million) , the charge of 300 thousand needs every months to sell 1.5 million (annual 18 million) . Attention, this is to keep this sale.
If every month is sold more 200 thousand, earn profit 40 thousand (did not calculate the issue that cost promotes) , profit of a year also is less than 500 thousand. According to the model above, want to sell the dimensions of 20 million fluctuation namely.
If integral investment is 2 million, I reckon this devoted level can be accomplished 20 million it is the figure that general ox breaks, time this period it is 4 years, this is the surface is answered only this.
2 million where to put, can take every year of 100 thousand secure and do not have venture gains, just answer 5 years so this!
And a person, can invest 2 million, white hand establishs a plant, production gives good cost, and can sell in the first year 20 million, the level of this person is yearly salary at least the level of 3489, calculate the market to cannot estimate its value adequately, the yearly salary of 300 thousand still wants.
Press this computation, work + year of earnings situation of conduct financial transactions as follows:
The first year
Do not open a plant 2 million + conduct financial transactions 100 thousand + salary 300 thousand, aggregate factory of 2.4 million start working is sold in those days 20 million, the capital on the hand 400 thousandThe 2nd year
Do not open a plant 2.4 million + conduct financial transactions 120 thousand + salary 300 thousand, aggregate factory of 2.82 million start working is sold in those days 20 million, the capital on the hand 800 thousand (circulating fund, accrual oversight)The 3rd year
Do not open a plant 2.82 million + conduct financial transactions 140 thousand + salary 300 thousand, aggregate factory of 3.26 million start working is sold in those days 20 million, the capital on the hand 1.2 million, accrual plan 50 thousand, aggregate 1.25 million3 years so start working factory has not been answered this, the capital on the hand does not pass 100 come 10 thousand, do not open a factory to exceed 3 million capital.
Can accomplish the factory of such rate, can saying is the first-rate plant that make, horizontal can of the boss says to counter a day. If at that time what accident happens, for instance inductrial injury, for instance other administration incident, for instance bad Zhang, be about to cry namely tearless result!
4
The future of multiple crisis choking manufacturing industry
Treat the condition of instantly, feel the flood wanted to come, go bankrupt later and unemployment should become concentrated and normal.
We this generation, very the witnessed China tremendous change that rejoice, rejoice have an university readable, this times also gifted really not little chance. Just individual ability is limited, those who hold is fine cannot check minor details! Nevertheless, also do not have malcontent place, after all whole has lived!
Nevertheless, 13 years since, feel the crisis feels stronger and stronger, as most the economic unit of basic level, be full of to economic change what cannot recount is sensitive.
It is the Chinese fortune of core with the house, face enormous challenge! I do not want to say is the problem that rise in price or breaks down, it is this mode lasts hard only, eventually should return manufacturing industry, but before coming back, still want to nod suffering to most person!
Do not give bitter taste, everybody plays Buddha department, do not work also can put up with gets along, this also cannot last! The space that closes down without the enterprise in front also is done not have from the back the dimensional ~ that the company grows
What I worry quite is whole is in debt in mushroom, these data have on the net. Does the word say whole is indebted increase and does line of this original poster hairiness concern? Relative of course, and it is wool concern not just! Most person underestimated the influence that slump lives to the individual badly, although you can eat and drink to use,not be short of, you go into the street by indescribable disclose two knives are in economic depression period also is probability soars ~
Integral debt is climbed litre, serious become divided appeared between the increment that means money and need, this is a mode that cannot last. Borrow money impossible absoluteness, although this American superpower is not OK also! If some is extremely big of the area cannot return debt, can you appear what result? Present beggar is about starved to death, present silk became beggar, present in produce turn into silk.
Fortune shrink is not an important matter, the important matter is everybody had a meal to give an issue. Think, does a person lose townsman now what circumstance is the job? What circumstance are two individual unemployment? Pension does not leave to go out, salary also does not leave to go out, the enterprise closes down, the job cannot be found, malign society incident is overall erupt, wanting to shudder!
Another international place that is China faces the worst period, the reason is Chinese economy development is formed to the developed country finish sth the extruding effect on fact. Any old is afraid that seize counterpoises, the United States also is afraid that China did true eldest child quickly; The United States sleeps lightly, traditional economy big country powerful nation also feels China grabbed rice bowl, everybody is very consistent should squelch China, after all the development of Chinese economy and hang on international market, especially American market!
Of course the United States also has reasonable chip for thing, be nodded simply even if for what your Bank of China can go to the United States battle business, is our Hua Qi big rub cannot come to China to begin professional work? Similar still have energy field and communication field, these in those days affirmatory and open be what to had been not opened now?
Chinese economy is older than the imagination to the dependence of the international market much, we still differ high-grade far, the matter does not say everybody also knows more why; And the product that China produces, what don't have to cannot replace a gender. If plain general is aimed at China to employ sweater war only, chinese circumstance will be more abominable!
But we besides what to buy American soja to you still can be bought? Is dress footgear still screw car a replacement? Want the United States to did not open technical outlet only, sino-US business relation is balanced hard. Perhaps can ask high price of large state-owend enterprise buys the product that the United States makes only, but won't buy high-grade technology however.
What big country says without cent is so poor, what also say without small pink is so good!
Storm of supply side, environmental protection, fire control storm, imprint without anchor bank note, these policy are right of the blow force of civilian look forward to exceed greatly imagination, the pass the time in a leisurely way that beat whole society as much measures second birth painfully.
5
This society is ill
I see all trades and professions competes to transfer to compete to capital gradually from the product level, grass does not grow below large tree, small small vivosphere is smaller and smaller. This is the inevitable result that economy grows, of this gain should already gain, the scope that still does not have gain is uncertain!
A lot of people feel happily small to this plants small company " factory of sweat and toil " did not have, the Chinese auspicioused day too, the person of this kind of idea is natural intelligence quotient owes cost! Small small company is the obtain employment platform with main compatriots, small small company is washed-up, integral obtain employment won't good! Achieve when unemployment a certain critical point, whole economy can be entered constrictive with depression.
This can explain this society is clammy only, rose 2014, feel one year more difficult than a year to do, 16 years firm stresses environmental protection, bring about raw material to rise in price, plant shutdown, industrial really the person is not done, investment is much, redound is little, return nobody to receive dish. Most the mainest is popular feeling changes, a few people still thinks to you can become rich with one's shoulder to collar now? It is to make a seize a chance to seek private gain, the big thinks method covers a state money that make, exert all his strength smally control cost, exploit worker, evade taxes evade taxation
Come one this year, the United States is added breath, but economic data is driving. Opposite at aged and confused Europe, opposite at inanimate Japan, american economy, clear put oneself in another's position is revealed is the most healthy economy system. Cease through adding, what dollar and beautiful national capital showed Wei of a kind of your life is powerful. If, the dollar is port, if the United States is true healthy exclusive system of a super economy, so the capital of the whole world can swarm into the United States!
Industrial product is connected for a long time shrinking is inevitable, progress as the technology, the manufacturing efficiency of industrial product is taller and taller, and supply incline to concentration, be born oligarch! As a result of this reason, always intervene standard industrial product produces domain and sale domain person or enterprise, profit is gotten very hard on this chain. If observe car, home appliance carefully this kind of domain, can discover inflation and did not bring about its to rise in price, depreciate ceaselessly however instead, enter the phase with smaller than bit gain!
Small small industrial no matter be returned actively,be passive, major final metropolis is squeezed by dimensions enterprise and oligarch overall market share moves toward death. Look from this trend, just wanting to make a point now industrial (point to manufacturing industry) person, it is the person that future is eliminated necessarily, the person that have very few success only, do now industrial it is to go against mostly situation and row!
The opportunity of manufacturing industry has begun gradually weak go, probably somebody is OK gain is the last copperplate, not be us absolutely however!
What we face is a queasier and queasier world; Doing not have pattern of a kind of trade live forever; Doing not have a kind of competition ability is lasting; Doing not have a kind of asset is firm; To make everybody complete recognize times is in after all what to produce, water wrote these 2 books stupefyingly:
