Since July, of egg price considerably violent wind goes up the abidance that caused the market pays close attention to. Well-known, annual egg price goes now to slip after the Spring Festival commonly, till around appeared in July,rebound, appear before mid-autumn peak of a price, fall after a rise appears later, appear before the Spring Festival next another price peak. According to the near future major customer feedbacks, egg retail prices had reached a day of degree of a price, main reason is summertime high temperature makes the hen produces egg quantity to decrease, carry plus the demand before the Mid-autumn Festival brace up, just appeared this year " rocket egg " the circumstance that return.
Change according to sending appoint the data of relevant egg statistic that the website publishs shows, end countrywide egg comes on the stage last week average price is 9.4 yuan / kilogram, annulus comparing rises 13.39% , relatively the low at the beginning of July rises amount to 3.44 yuan / kilogram, go up amount to 57.72% , go up sign is relatively clear, this basically is egg market supplies occurrence breach, pull those who raised egg price considerably violent wind goes up. Though egg price is in generally speaking before mid-autumn inside the time of nearly two months,rise rapid it is a kind of general trend, but egg price is in this year short go up inside the time that is less than two months adjacent 60% , and be in leave the time that there still is a month mid-autumn, later period goes up whether overtake last year litre of situation of 88.7% , next mask systems are analysed from respect of supply and demand.
The data of egg chicken amount of livestock on hand that agricultural country ministry publishs shows, amount of amount of livestock on hand of domestic egg chicken appeared after April 2017 apparent fall, but 2018 the Spring Festival appeared to grow afterwards, it is since close month the trend that is in growth all the time; Basically be in recent years the influence of the epidemic disease such as the avian flu of pressure together with of environmental protection respect, egg chicken breeds on 2017 half moon appeared apparent loss brings about egg chicken to eliminate quantitative increase, but filling column desire is not strong, because egg chicken breeds an average scale opposite live pig is big, medicinal powder door not outstanding, to environmental protection policy it is better to answer a method, and breed the dilate of the enterprise as chicken of a few eggs, breed accrual improve, many raising door lengthen egg chicken to use time, egg chicken amount of livestock on hand appeared apparent refreshment, do not cross a hen to bring about amount yield an egg to appear to drop apparently below the air temperature influence with broiling summer, still created the situation that shows level egg to supply insecurity finally.
Look according to coming from egg market level recently, egg price rises situation appear to put delay apparently, advocate if high temperature weather appeared recently,alleviate, egg chicken group productivity can appear slow refreshment, the perch of egg price moves, breed accrual to increase, breed a measure that eliminates egg chicken less, defer the mentality that eliminate to last, the supply that added partial egg amount, the market supplies tight situation to alleviate somewhat, those who controlled egg price go up.
To demand end, besides ferial li of to the egg demand in daily life outside, it is the most important to show level is many moon cake processing factories before the Mid-autumn Festival the demand to the egg, make the market right below such condition the demand of the egg arrives at a fastigium, plus the opening advent plus the student, a large number of stock up of many food factories, increased the market the requirement measure to the egg, aid the raise on continuity of force egg price. Now had been August the last ten-day of a month, still have a month from the Mid-autumn Festival, the makes oppose egg demand amount in the moon cake inside this paragraph of time reachs the highest peak in a year, continue to appear again the possibility that improve is lesser. Add 2017 the corresponding period because Europe " poisonous egg " incident ferments continuously, chinese mainland did not approve entrance of European Union egg, so this " poisonous egg " incident did not produce apparent effect to Chinese consumer. And government sector sampling observation of nearly 4 years shows, the percent of pass of domestic egg was achieved 97.9% , the exit prospect of the egg is better, enlarged the demand market of the egg, nevertheless the disturbance influence of poisonous this year egg is inferior to last year the corresponding period, bright egg exports a quantity not as good as last year the corresponding period, controlled egg price go up.
Will integratedly look, though egg price is already at present far,exceed last year the high point of price of the corresponding period, because sufferred environmental protection to reach 2017,breed deficit influence to make amount of amount of livestock on hand drops, the egg supplies insecurity to make egg price rises to a higher position inside before mid-autumn two months of egg demand, rise amount to 4.32 yuan / kilogram. And because the extend of the enterprise is added,breed profit this year amount of livestock on hand of chicken of good, egg increases, as the apparent fall after a rise of later period air temperature, defer the egg chicken that fall into disuse to add the refreshment of function yield an egg, closer and closer also from the Mid-autumn Festival, demand continues very hard to improve again, this rises those who control egg price extent, the author thinks later period rises the probability that extent can exceed on one year is lesser.
