The near future, the market is right of Iranian condition be anxious to be offerred for oil price all the time prop up, international oil price picks up significantly. Nevertheless, the intermediary outside occupying reports, between Telangpu and Iran " saliva battle " or upgrade next month, this is undoubtedly to oily city " time bomb " , at the appointed time oily city is sure to raise a mighty uproar.
Beautiful Yi " saliva battles " or upgrade
According to Australian media ABC the report says, the senior official of Australian government shows, they believe the United States has been done " bomb " the preparation of Iranian nuclear installation, the earliest likelihood acts at the beginning of next month. ABC still says, national defence establishment of Australia is in probably the target respect of affirmatory Iran produces effect, british information branch also can produce same effect.
And before these messages appear, telangpu and the brawl between rash Ha Ni and armed strength menace had not stopped.
Telangpu warns Luhani to say, if dare to browbeat to beautiful inflict once more, can let its be tasted oneself surely " evil consequence " ; And Luhani also warns Telangpu to say, do not want somebody who plays with fire will get burnt, minatory Iran, can regret otherwise.
Going up weekday, lu Hani returns a warning to say, if the United States continues to instigate,browbeat continuously Iran, iran can block Huo Ermu thises channel, stop international oil to carry.
Analytic personage points out, the conflict in view of the United States and Iran may cause the critical reaction that comes from middle east to cannot be forecasted, may more ground is only between beautiful Yi Zhi a kind " oral threaten " .
Should oil price go up again?
If the United States flings caution to the winds really " assault " Iran, will cause huge impact to oily city, the crude oil that can affect Iran not only furnishs, still may carry to the crude oil of middle east area cause an effect. Once conflict erupts, oil price or will soare immediately inside short time.
The sources of energy is right John Kilduff of author of partnership of strong fund Again Capital expresses, because Telangpu is unlikely to extend very much punish derate, crude oil will rise Bulunte to 90 dollars / bucket. In addition, if Iran chooses to press,shut channel of at present of suddenly Er wood this one " nuclear pushbutton " , bulunte crude oil may violent wind rises to hundreds of dollars / bucket.
Nevertheless, oil price violent wind rises is not Telangpu or the result that OPEC hopes to see probably: Considering the drawing near of metaphase election, telangpu does not want to see oil price rise, hope oil price drops more instead; OPEC is more such, be in last month, OPEC decides increase production in order to stabilize oil price; If oil price rises, this may let their all one's previous efforts wasted.
Analyst of German commercial bank thinks, include strain of global trade situation inside these elements and the integrated element that bring negative effect possibly to petroleum demand are counteracted inside, these neutralization will restrict Telangpu the influence that the near future brings oil price to Iranian menace.
Analysis of area of crude oil technology reachs train of thought next week:
At present technical area looks, forest belt of day figure cloth shrinks the mouth moves, MA5 all line abduct head and MA10 all the line shows golden fork preliminary agglutinate moves, the MA5 between the course in K line moving Yu Bulin, MA10 all line upper part, green kinetic energy shrinks somewhat quantity, KDJ3 line up disperse the internal heat with sudorifics, prices whole expression rebounds configuration; On 4 hours of graphs, cloth forest belt 3 orbit are initial small degree start to talk up move, MA5 all line and MA10 all the line shows golden fork up, k line is handed in course attends in casting Yubulin between, progressively to the limit of one's capacity measures gules kinetic energy, oil price short line has go up further kinetic energy. Will integratedly look, crude oil open quotation plays detective in 69.6 around fall after a rise yesterday 68.1 a gleam of rebound 69.5 suffocate suffocate, day sees crude oil accept this world again on line attempt, because the United States is mixed between Iran of tight situation upgrade to turn costly case further, at present oil price short line still has go up further potential energy, but look from day wire configuration, interval rectifies situation, after all the near future, the United States and Iranian mouth. Battle can bring uncertainty to the market ceaselessly, operate fall after a rise of last person train of thought to do next week give priority to more, headroom is complementary, the key pays close attention to upper part now obstruction of 70 a gleam of, 68 a gleam of support lower part.
Crude oil operates strategy next week:
Oil price callback arrives 68.5 continue much sheet enters the arena, the target is valued 70 around, stop caustic 0.3 U.S. dollors.
