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On August 31 message, the near future, vegetable, egg, pork farming by-product price is seasonal rise cause wide attention. The country develops innovation appoint price department says 31 days about chief, a few more current of short-term factor disturb the state that won't change price total level to move smoothly, vegetable, egg, live pig farming by-product price predicts steady fall after a rise of will progressively hasten.
Suffer weather is affected with the element such as festal drawing near, price of near future vegetable, egg appears seasonal rise. On August 28, national hair changes appoint 15 kinds of monitored vegetable and average prices every a unit of weight 3.24 yuan, than rising at the beginning of August 7.3% . Egg retail prices every a unit of weight 5.62 yuan, than rising at the beginning of August 23.3% . Suffer rainstorm feels an effect with big damage caused by waterlogging, vegetable price of smooth city of Shandong province birthday rises bigger.
This chief says, near future vegetable rises in price to basically suffer seasonal element influence. Look from historical data, enter in July, in August, countrywide big range enters high temperature much wet to enrage, vegetable crop is affected certainly, dish price stops drop pick up; Enter September, in October, weather turns cool, supply increase, dish price will somewhat fall after a rise. Dish price goes this year force is main also accord with this characteristic. Because the Northern Hemisphere appears this year extreme atmosphere feature, a few vegetable advocate high temperature yield a division breaks through historical extreme value, strong rainfall even hail weather is sent more, partly square vegetable reduction of output. Increased to vegetable plucks and carry difficulty plus strong rainfall, cause dish price relatively on the high side of in former years. In the meantime, as a result of seasonal supply reduce demand of overlay festival sex to increase, price of near future egg also rises faster.
This controller expresses, did not come for some time, as the whole nation major area is entered autumn turn cool, calamity sex weather decreases, vegetable and egg production will return to normal stage by stage, later period price hasten firm or it is certain to appear the fall after a rise of extent.
This year after the Spring Festival, live pig price drops considerably continuously, dropped to nearly 8 years of low May, but appeared after the middle ten days of a month in May one rebounds. This chief says, price of live pig of nearly a few months rebounds it is normal that more is belonged to seasonal pick up. And drop as a result of price of pig of Spring Festival have a youthful look big, with in last few years photograph of price of the corresponding period is compared, price of current live pig still is in relatively inferior level. At present live pig is produced still can slant much, the price still is in passageway of periodic be issued to lower levels, the possibility that later period appears to rise apparently is lesser.
"The circumstance that reacts from the market looks, as seasonal the subsidise that the element affects, came in September live pig supply will be apparent in October grow in quantity, the price may appear fall after a rise; Accompany solstitial before market demand is apparently outspread, will come in November live pig price will pick up somewhat in December, but the possibility that rises considerably is lesser. " this chief says.
Since August, partial area discovered epidemic situation of African swine fever. After epidemic situation happening, relevant section reacts quickly, epidemic situation did not happen spread. This chief says, since epidemic situation happening, live pig price did not appear unusual wave motion, move relatively smooth. Look always, production of hog of epidemic situation opposite and price impact are finite.
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