The song of egg madam
Week egg price faces a risk
Today on September 9 on Sunday, this week egg price is certain in have go up, produce area and the festal stock up that sell a division to send force at the same time; Zhou Si, Zhou Wu rises quickly, shandong part area is close to 5 yuan / jin; But begin Saturday, parcel area rises lack of power; Weekday, guangdong, Beijing this one south one north two sell a division greatly, walk along goods to slow.
1, guangdong market
Dongguan letter establishs the market to arrive today not much, dan Gong egg is small drop price, most those who make a person anxious is, powdery egg walks along money rate to slow apparently. Southern terminal market is given priority to with powdery egg consumption, suffer business to exceed stock up to pull a few days ago move, price of southern pink egg rises sign is good, powdery egg is fatigued and weak today, explain the stock up before southern part is finished basically.
2, beijing field
Ocean road rises Saturday reach 205 yuan / , weekday Beijing trafficker wants to continue to pull originally go up to 210 yuan / , but goods person is taken after reopen after a cessation of business very few, rise in price failure.
From north and south the two cases that sell an area to walk along goods to slow greatly look, the business that sell a division exceeds stock up to have the possibility that ends ahead of schedule. Compare in former years, the duration that business exceeds stock up this year is shorter, this follows economic big environment is concerned this year, common people purchasing power is abate. Additional, on north wide etc 3 sell an area these days to arrive greatly not much, this shows the festal stock up of oneself yield a division still is continueing, sale in domestic market still has prop up. End when stock up of festival yield a division, export, sale in domestic market is immersed in when becoming silent, egg price faces a risk.
Come 18 years egg price is seasonal take situation picture
Institute of as above plan is shown, look from calendar year rule, a week before mid-autumn, all sorts of stock up are finished, festal effect subsidise, egg price often rapid fall after a rise. Distance the Mid-autumn Festival still has 15 days today, join current market reaction and historical rule, the author thinks, next week egg price will enter risk period, breed door want active shipment with egg business, avoid store up commodity.
My individual judgement is not certain and correct, but as the egg from media, saw a risk and do not speak out, conscience is impassable, even if bring about,breed door misunderstanding, also must say. Because I raise chicken, know the hardships of gallinaceous civilian.
Issue periodic commodity prices to analyse
This week, rise quickly in egg price in, egg brunt agreement 1901 although have,rebound, but go up finite, go up than merchandise on hand situation, futures turns over bounce to spend apparent inadequacy. Although successive 3 days receive small positive line, but 4 trade sun just rose 65 are nodded, and Zhou Wu receives shade line again, following plan institute show:
Egg futures attempt of line of 1901 days of K
From last week dish the face looks, daily and fluctuant range is not big, light trading, show investor is relatively rational. Although current egg price rises,go up, but had been a section before last, have dropping risk at any time, investor of great majority of rule of this one history is reasonable, because this is done,compare discretion more.
Individual viewpoint, long-term see 01 agreement still have the space that continues to drop, long term when in order to meet headroom is given priority to. But 01 agio are bigger, and current dish of face value on the low side, do so must maintain light warehouse for nothing, prevent to rebound, have low decrease a storehouse, perch adds a storehouse again, maintain the warehouse end empty sheet at any time, consolidate step by step.
Go about 1901 future situation, is the author in Zhou Si " before egg price part last go up? " already had in one article discuss in detail.
Above is discussed and suggest to represent point of view of egg gentleman individual only, offer reference only, cannot regard investment as the basis, if produce loss accordingly, egg gentleman is not in charge of without exception.
Author statement
(be over) egg gentleman Yao Wei on September 9, 2018
