Open quotation of index of the card on Zhou Wu at 2733.87, lowest 2722.03, highest 2797.49, closing quotation at 2797.49, early dish continued Zhou Siheng Pan Zhen swings pattern, but in draw near when 11 o'clock, real estate board piece start suddenly, drive an index slow go up, midday dish bank, certificate business, the weight such as coal unwilling give the impression of weakness follows to go up greatly, drive exponential to the limit of one's capacity on the station 60 days all line, final remaining part dish accept bareheaded great this world, go straight towards integral col 2800 a little bit continuously. Industry board piece all fronts rises, bank, coal, safe, brew board piece the index rises a house before, clinch a deal the quantity continues to magnify, two city are aggregate clinch a deal 321.5 billion yuan.
Go from current prices in light of situation, a lot of investor compare kink, it is to rebound to still invert after all, chase after? Be afraid of set, do not chase after? Be afraid of step empty! Reaction of this kind of psychology is very actually normal, medicinal powder door most those who be afraid of is general goes up prices, so next finance and economics of foliaceous family name gives everybody to come to everybody from technical area and message face integration analysis:
The analysis on technical area:
1, of in former years " autumn grab " prices is commonly October, after National Day grows a holiday, start namely, continue to the middle ten days of a month on November.
2, as a result of this year the stock market from Feburary after the top seeing first, in domestic and international blow of following one by one issues all sorts of benefit sky, issue defeat to be not had almost all the way rebound.
3, clinching a deal quantity respect, after one 206.7 billion ground estimates this week, successive 4 days of to the limit of one's capacity: 253.6 billion, 319.9 billion, 250.3 billion, 321.5 billion, domestic and international capital is in apparently flock enter the arena grab dish.
4, go up in the near future in the center, zhou Er, 3, 5 on card index rises respectively 1.82% , 1.14% , Zhou Wu 2.50% . Go up show enlarge a trend. Especially Zhou Wu, on card 50, Shanghai is deep 300, on card put together points to, become greatly point to, in platelet, do poineering work board, closed 3.46% , 3.03% , 2.5% , 2.13% , 1.74% , days of the biggest 1.69% positive lines since this year. Closed 6.11% , 5.19% , 4.33% , 3.65% , 2.74% , the line of big Zhou Yang of 3.30% , achieve 2 years half the biggest week goes up new tall.
5, in the lunar string in September, to on September 21, on card 50, Shanghai is deep 300, on card put together points to all closed 2.28% , 2.28% , the lunar in relief string of 2.65% . Basically include fund of national group, provide for the aged inside big orgnaization of each inside and outside from Shanghai city advocate board begin to start.
6, all in light of route system, mere 4 days, card put together points to on with respect to recover of with one action eliminate year of line and line of half an year beyond all in short-term all line. Especially successive station of 3 days of closing quotation is mixed at 2716 o'clock in 20 antenna 5 Zhou Jun lines 2727 bits over, mean grail to already changed bull market from bear market. Zhou Wu, card put together points to on with one action took 60 antenna 2763 a little bit. Making clear this will be last a period of time round above of a month, have 200 at least, of 300 bits of spaces intermediate rebound prices.
Will look on policy face have good news of the following interest:
1, rise from September 15, the foreigner can buy A;
2, next week, rich when index of Luo Suguo time brings into the decision A, once succeed, weight will be more than MSCI index, what can bring 500 billion dollar, 3.4 trillion RMB is new increase capital, will be even bigger than maintaining a national group actual strength of 3.3 trillion;
3, " company method " amendment asks for an opinion to be about to end, at the appointed time, appear on the market broom the company counter-purchases the legal obstacle that cancels a share, chinese stock market also can be lifted madly appear on the market the company counter-purchases tide;
4, in 580 billion annuities, 370 billion arrive already account, enter town in succession. Weigh from nearly two weeks of authority hit ceaselessly press an index to innovate low, grail is in 2700 bits of the following closing quotation 8 days, and this week helps litre of 4 big banks 4 days continuously the movement looks, annuities finished the bottom job that build a warehouse basically already;
5, inside number week, fund of target of more than 10 provide for the aged will be issued in great quantities merge into city;
6, Shanghai human relations is connected will carry out inside 3 months;
7, cycle of assessment of social security fund turns into 5 years from 1 year, in long term the requirement that proposes a storehouse is already mature; 8, danger endowment already built a warehouse at early days p reaper, now storehouse only 12% belong to on the low side, the follow-up space that add a storehouse is larger;
8, commerce chafes already level sex is explicit, to the influence of market sentiment concussion has been mirrorred sufficient.
9, the Central Committee of Communist Party of China, the State Council recently print and distribute " promote consumptive system mechanism about perfecting, a certain number of opinions that arouse a dweller to consume latent capacity further " , include to arouse food and clothing to use consumption, live consumption of homemaking of consumption of sports of travel of a consumption, information consumption, culture, healthy provide for the aged, education grooms hold young consumption in the palm.
10, standing conference puts forward 18 days of held the State Council clearly essential buckle national program and major strategy, increase " 3 areas 3 cities " wait for network of infrastructure of deepness poverty area, traffic backbone especially major project of environmental protection of the agricultural infrastructure such as highway of railroad of ministry of Chinese and Western, trunk channel, hub and branch line airport, major irrigation works, zoology, technical reformation. Next level our country invest key method graph to already emerged, traffic capital construction takes on undoubtedly important role, no matter be the amount of the project or amount " instigate crossbeam " , the capital construction of the relevant domain such as environmental protection, information, the people's livelihood also becomes new heat. Predict the project of new capital construction that starts inside year always invests dimensions to reach number, investment is pulled touch effect four quarters will begin to show. Professional orgnaization is calculated, 8-12 month adds local debt financing newly, can pull move capital construction to always invest 4.3 trillion yuan, 3 years capital construction investment adds future actually fast centre should be in 5% around. Can ensure the target of steady growth of the economy inside year can come true basically.
11, change in hair of same and celestial home appoint on the news briefing, also release a capital construction to fill further short board carry fast strong policy signal, will begin to stabilize significant investment from 7 respects, strive clearly inside year again new go into operation a batch of major projects.
12, Li Zong is in Dawosi released " to decrease duty to fall for the enterprise with greater strength on forum cost, arouse market vigor " , "China will expand with greater strength open, the regulation that upholds economic globalization and commerce to liberalize with real operation " signal.
13, first will be held in Shanghai November 5 in import commodity exposition too. According to " Shanghai observes " report, october, , group of Shanghai some industry can exhibit a center in the country inside, build to be those who weigh the millions upon millions square metre of the dot to reveal platform all the year round with big health, do business external, import commodity to be able to be sold continuously not only, accessibly still body experiences product of global health life. Goods of import of the whole class that additionally the group is making 400 thousand square metre, whole trench, normalization trades service platform -- " harbor of global merchandise trade " . Annual 365 days, to domestic tourist sale world each country imports goods, start shooting " Shanghai shops " brand.
14, capital of conduct financial transactions of bank fair collect will " enter town in a large-scale " bring daydream. Although relevant personage states this policy still needs to wait for superintendency branch next system arrangement, the configuration that also should see fund of each bank conduct financial transactions is politic. But the abidance in view of estate market, economy market is low fan, financing of conduct financial transactions will be raised once more probably into city. Illicit collect expresses, once bank reason property is tasted can more conveniently invest in stock market, will bring new liquidity, it is big profit for certain good.
15, rising market crisis is talked appease, accompanying harbor, day, Indian stock market go tall considerably, do poorly done work over again of phase of open of Asia-Pacific stock market. At the same time the US stock achieves the history again new tall, for the hair of global stock market force was brought rise motivation.
16, appear on the market 3 quarterly reports of company are close 7 into be fond of beforehand. Up to yesterday closing quotation, two city share 1185 companies outstanding achievement of 3 quarterly reports is premonitory appear, among them 789 property performance is fond of beforehand, occupy than nearly 7 into. Predict by net profit amplitude median is calculated, before 82 companies two years profit of net of 3 quarterly reports all carries growth state and hopeful of amplitude of net this year gain is carried fast.
The place on put together is narrated, the start of bovine city has a general character, weight is blue chip drag an index, in small achieve and second new a belt is moving gas, on card 50 go up greatly yesterday nearly 3% , main bank, landed, brew board piece, stabilize grail index first, predicting market can spread subject matter, final theme go up a meeting exceed far blue chip, main reason is subject matter dish small go situation is agile, do poineering work board come round to look to still only 400 clinch a deal more from eye quantity, go up lesser in light of, have the tendency that is changed by the brim, finance and economics of foliaceous family name thinks since policy end also is market bottom 2644 a little bit, go from whole in light of situation, the near future goes situation serve as only super- drop rebound prices, from bottom 2644 rebound in light of the space, predicting 200-300 is nodded, the gold that also accords with Zhou Xian quite is broken up than 23% positions, city still will have a callback after, finish only crouch after jumping rise strength gift will be greater, in next go among situation, go up alertly card jumps vacant mouth 2823 reach upper part 2850 a little bit pressure, those who suggest attention has not been started is blue prepare, second new, and adjust more sufficient subject matter etc, do not change at will, meet low add a storehouse, in order to hold give priority to.
The proposal pays close attention to reform of look forward to of estate, building, center, national defence war industry, travel board piece.
[above proposal nonfeasance holds dish of basis, if have a doubt, pay close attention to please " finance and economics of foliaceous family name " ]