"Never think of house price also can fall " .
2008, building city be issued to lower levels, rate of 10 thousand divisions depreciates in the whole nation first sales promotion, hangzhou (building dish) owner dissatisfaction depreciates sale, collective besieges a selling office, the requirement returns a house.
10 years past, similar one act happened again.
Still be Hangzhou this. Hangzhou some building dish 2 period depreciate 400 thousand, old owner plays a banner in the spot, requirement " return our money earned by hard toil " , have owner all over the face cannot believe:
Be to say inferior go up all the time before carry?
This is the story of Hangzhou not merely apparently.
This year since second half of the year, depreciate dimension authority already was in Beijing (building dish) connect city, Hefei (building dish) take turns of and other places is performed, be like in those days.
01
House price fell not to work
Recently estate of 20 years goes up in cycle, building city adjusts can be counted on one's fingers.
Every time is adjusted, can perform depreciate the play code that thought fors the time being, and every time is little not Hangzhou.
Reality is so barpque, barpque backside is having powerful actual logic likewise.
Differ with city of line of other one or two, hangzhou all along is the model that goes up urgently to drop urgently, of building city congenial atmosphere grumous, exceed city of a gleam of even. So, when be issued to lower levels of city of every time building is adjusted, hangzhou turns around to rush when its. Develop business to depreciate every time when steam again capital, the owner that has tasted benefit on the history also is met jump out for a short while.
Must say, the history is often reduplicative, imitating effect often also happen.
Break the history that goes 20 years, 2008, 2011, 2014, 2018, be the interval of be issued to lower levels of city of a few buildings of can be counted on one's fingers, price of even if house rose two 30 thousand dropped two 3000, also do not block owner people the road that thought fors the time being.
The problem is, if at the outset 10 thousand divisions return a house by force of pressure, house price anabiosises later rebound and even turn over times, these old owner people, you can perform again " is advantageous position of the dimension that return a house current " ?
Want to know, house price still is temporary callback only, if appear really,steep fall, what can you produce?
02
Hong Kong steeps fall story
House price steeps fall, this thing goes up in house price give horizon Hong Kong to had happened.
Arrived 1997 2003, price of Hong Kong house steeps fall, highest drop exceed 7 to become. A house of 2 million, come down a few years, leave the damage value of 5589 only.
House price fell, but loan debt however a bit won't little. Owner sells a house namely, also pay off the debt of the bank hard, receive a few this years with respect to nobody at all what is more,the rather that dish.
Many sweet Hongkong's people were become between one night " the person that lose capital fund " .
Those a few years, "The suicide that burn charcoal " became see all hot words at media constantly.
2003, house price falls to the end of cereal, despair also arrived by cereal. Taking have one's bosom filled with depressed and discontented, these " just needed people " be on street, protest house price drops.
Subsequently, hong Kong cancels to aim to solve living problem thoroughly " the eighty thousand and five plans that build a house " (build 85000 public house every year) , considerably the cut plan that offer the ground.
Price of Hong Kong house restarts the road that rise, going up is 15 years.
These " the person that lose capital fund " turn over overnight, but more and more people can not afford a room.
03
Wish to bet emulative?
The house price of Hong Kong type steeps fall, in the stock market simply common.
Do not say the A 2008 decline greatly, it is 3 years ago, the stock market once had performed a day to drop the big play that halt. Face steep fall, shareholders wish to bet admit defeat, black out take a side.
However, reached building city, not only common sense disappeared, contracted consciousness also was done not have.
One simple strong however ask in reply is, if house price drops to ask to return a house, does house price soare whether can development business ask owner fills price difference?
Apparent nobody agrees.
Why be in building city, house price falls, does owner ask to return a house with respect to ground of can such one is assured and bold with justice?
A reason is, the house is a large amount of investment, a house, draw out 6 purse of a family with respect to enough. If just bought a room to drop, do not have how many person to be able to accept this kind of price.
Another reason is, be in China, all along has " small be troubled by Xiaojie definitely, make have a bowel movement greatly definitely " traditional. These owner people believe, should rise jointly only collective thought fors the time being, development business can yield somewhat. Although develop business not to wish to yield, local government stems from the consideration with certain dimension, also meet result deflection at old owner.
Do not say Hong Kong " just needed people " go into the street thought fors the time being setting of this kind of extreme, it is the 10 thousand divisions that took the lead in depreciating 2008, face many pressure likewise.
Memory says Wang Shi later, in those days after 10 thousand divisions take the lead in depreciating, ever got many local government talk about and investigate. Visible, owner depreciates dimension authority backside, the hand that has a mystery is in aeriform cooperate.
This ability is the bottom gas place with right owner.
04
Recessive assure
There is what asset on the world is " go up not to drop only " .
This is common sense. But reach building city, common sense immediately invalidation, house price " go up not to drop only " belief indestructible.
This kind of belief, although all previous classics was mixed 2008 2014 the ablution of house price callback, but mix in one billion three hundred and eighty-five million four hundred and forty-seven thousand four hundred and twenty-four large investment rise in price go below the actual logic of inventory, people believes more instead, house price won't fall, the government won't allow house price to drop more.
This is recessive assure the mechanism makes like that.
Estate is pulled move economy and land financial double depend on, let " house price can rise only cannot drop " , become not only anticipate in the round, also became the real need of local government.
Even if went to what domestic and international environment faces great pressure now, our adjusting control logic still is " firm " word pawn. Certain room price, want keep within limits to rise already, also want to be on guard to drop greatly.
This is price of Chinese pattern room most the reality of indestructible is logistic.
05
Whose be used to became bad the person that buy a house
Who be after all be used to became bad the person that buy a house, now answer be vividly portrayed.
One of, house price " go up not to drop only " belief, let them do not wish to believe dropping reality;
Secondly, draw out the anguish of 6 purse, let them do not bear belongings to devalue;
Thirdly, "Make have a bowel movement greatly definitely " thinking, gave them actual courage;
Its 4, house price cannot fall " recessive assure " , supplied powerful bottom gas for everybody.
Just is the existence of these elements, the person buy a house that lets China matures hard forever rise. Do not experience the adjustment with huge loss, very difficult also somebody draws a lesson from which.
Arrived to change when.
