Client of new classics abb carries in report inscribed on October 29: " Jin Lian achieves: Zhou Wucheng tastes oil price or will receive the coming year inside most reduce substantially "
Epicycle valuation cycle already passed half, market of the crude inside the near future is successional be thwarted: Expression of American stock market is low confuse the explore below crude oil of be a burden on; Falihe of minister of sand spy oil expresses, glide to make up for the supply of Iranian crude oil that creates because of American punish, the crude daily output of this country or will farther promotion reach 12 million pails. This message makes one piece crude price considerably fall after a rise.
As a result of near future crude oil all valence than before appear to drop considerably, ratio of reason epicycle change maintains negative Xiang Kuan from beginning to end move. Achieve according to Jin Lian calculate, up to on October 26 the 5th weekday, breed of referenced crude oil all valence is 74.95 dollars / bucket, change is led - 6.11% , price of corresponding steam derv reduces 280 yuan / ton. Of oil price of international of predicting later period drop situation or will put delay, but whole still is maintained slant weak concussion goes situation. Add now attune takes reason epicycle retail price basically solid, and reduce extent or will brush the maximum inside New Year. Window of this second attune price is on November 2 24 when. Add: End this year retail price moved price case schedule on October 26 (range of price of the attune in the graph is referenced) with benzine.
In light of oily market of domestic finished product, suffer sky of message side benefit to hit pressure, price of ground temper with fire falls situation aggravate, achieve data to show according to Jin Lian: End on October 26 benzine of ground temper with fire all valence is 8196 yuan / ton, relatively photograph comparing dropped on October 19 345 yuan / ton; Derv all valence 7754 yuan / ton, relatively dropped on October 19 208 yuan / ton. Message face and cost face make advocate battalion price lasts bear pressure, add sale cycle is shorter this month, advocate battalion shipment condition is fundamental very not hopeful, clinch a deal centre of gravity also is to play detective all the way, but hope of the town after be opposite as a result of downstream user is scant, the market clinchs a deal to seek large sheet hard.
Hind city, crude oil or maintain slant weak concussion posture, retail price wide cut is reduced anticipate will envelop finished product oily market continuously. The analysis on main area, start working of ground temper with fire is led or maintain perch to move, resource of domestic steam derv is supplied enough; And benzine is short-term inside carry without holiday brace up, benzine is used up or have cut. Derv moves steadily with oily unit because of the terminal such as outdoors project, integral demand is relatively steady. Anyhow, message face and main area are searched hard prop up, and still have a share at present advocate battalion chases after quantity heart to cut, multiple interest empty factor interweaves below, weak potential of finished product oily market changes hard, the price or will last fall after a rise. (In APP of new classics abb)
(The viewpoint in article offers reference only, do not make investment proposal, investment has a risk, want discretion into city. Want discretion into city..
