Gao Ge of reporter of economic observation network on March 31, change according to national hair appoint website information, up to on March 30, before case of oil price of domestic finished product hangs the international market crude oil that lean 10 workaday average prices under every pails of 40 dollars. Basis " oil price runs way " and " reserve of risk of oil price adjusting control imposes administrative measure " concerned regulation, price of this second steam, derv is not made adjust, did not move amount to will bring into reserve of risk of oil price adjusting control entirely, in the center of sum turn over to the higher authorities the treasury.
This second attune price was 2020 the 6th tone price. After this second attune price passes, finished product oil moved valence to will appear 2020 " 0 go up 3 drop 3 hard and fast " pattern.
Eminent achieves Zhang Fuli of oily analyst of information finished product to express, this valuation at the beginning of cycle period, because communal and wholesome incident continues to weaken crude oil demand, to the anxious and ceaseless aggravate of global economic depression, bring about international oil price to appear thereby steep fall, after that each country Central Bank adopted a series of an emergency measures, try to alleviate the concussion of communal and wholesome incident to global economy, together with United States may intervene sand spy and the message of Russia oil price war come out, make thereby international oil price gets short when carry brace up. Nevertheless, because the durative influence of communal and wholesome incident still is put, together with sand anticipates with Russia increase production especially will come, crude oil immediately is answered again spit go up. Although,crude oil fluctuates during relatively frequent, but metabolic ratio changes inside the limits that lose a value from beginning to end.
According to grand numerous information is analysed, at present international crude price falls to 18 years of nadirs since, WTI and Bulunte futures price already in pairs approachs 20 dollars / bucket. Crude market does not have current international to rebound continuously evidence, interest empty factor still is held windward, short-term inside international crude price hard return 40 dollars / bucket, when predicting below one round to move valence window open accordingly, big probability will continue to spark protective mechanism, finished product oil is highest and retail price fixing at the appointed time or will still not make adjust.
Eminent achieves information to hind the judgement of city is roughly identical also, think respect of international crude oil, later period crude oil or maintain bottom concussion as before, the probability that rate of crude oil change rises considerably is lesser, predict to play a valuation cycle integrated crude oil all valence or still be in 40 dollars / under the floor price of the bucket, issue round of finished product oil retail price fixing or still do not make adjust.
According to price of oil of domestic active finished product mechanism adjustment cycle is calculated, new derv of round of steam moves valence window will on April 15 24 when open.
Origin: Economy observes a newspaper
