Gao Cheng reduces the United States considerably economy of the 2nd season beforehand appraise comes pelter 34% , unemployment rate makings rises urgently to 15% , unemployed data shows, yield and of the labour market break down what before extent compares this even, anticipate is even big, this caused the fear that causes the 2nd round of more serious effect to prospective income and defray.
Zhou Er of American stock market (on March 31) drop, dow Jones industry is average index achieve first quarter piece the biggest quarter drops since 1987, 500 indexes hire mark general so that the biggest quarter drops since financial crisis, become history go up to turn by the ox one of prices with ursine the rapiddest rate. Meanwhile, the craze of coronal shape virus of almost OK and certain Euramerican state has made American economy was immersed in decline.
Gao Cheng reduces the United States considerably economy of the 2nd season beforehand appraise, unemployment rate makings rises urgently
Fill Zhou Er high to express, the 2nd season of American economy glides extent general outclass is previous beforehand appraise, unemployment rate also will be climbed litre, because civilian evidence is mixed,the epidemic situation of new coronal virus of home of Europe United States is brought about " violent wind of unemployed gold number is asked to rise first " .
Gao Cheng is forecasted now, gross domestic product of essence of United States of the 2nd season (GDP) annulus will drop than annual rate 34% , and before this forecast to drop 24% . This chief economist breaths out sagacious to think of (Jan Hatzius) says, the United States target of economy of the first season from now on before predicted fall 6% reduce to drop 9% .
Gao Cheng predicts at present, to this year in year, unemployment rate will rise to 15% , and the anticipation before this is 9% . Unemployed data shows, yield and of the labour market break down what before extent compares this even, anticipate is even big, this caused the fear that causes the 2nd round of more serious effect to prospective income and defray.
The whole world of new coronal epidemic situation of Euramerican country spreads hit economy to anticipate, because of a lot of enterprises already come to a standstill, it is temporary come to a standstill at least, because government of world each country asks people stays in the home, in order to reduce farther contagion.
American president Telangpu Zhou Yi (on March 30) express, may tighten up socialization federally scanty from guidelines, include not to urge the party of more than 10 people. Weekday (on March 29) Telangpu announces will current limitation measure is lengthened to on April 30.
Nevertheless, gao Cheng predicts loose money and finance policy will conduce to the 2nd round of influence that dominates pair of economy, conduce to prospective growth.
What indicate here is dimensions ambitious upset plan at finance of anticipated United States of the 3rd phase, and anticipate the finance of city of the 4th phase that will come on stage helps program, and beautiful couplet store the 454 billion dollar that may use American government to stabilize fund new infuse to foreign currency of Ministry of finance in a large-scale will establish special aim tool (SPV) , homeward front courtyard and enterprise offer credit to support, buy municipal bond.
Although be put in very big uncertainty, but should express all right, close measure and socialization are scanty from will in future a month brings about new infection case of illness to decrease considerably, because this virus transmits speed to put delay and enterprise and individual to get used to these act stage by stage, should be from May or will begin in June gradually go back to work lays next foundations.
This soon annulus of GDP of United States of the 3rd quarter anticipates than increasing annual rate on move to 19% , prep above the of 12% growth target of the set before this. Predict GDP will be mixed than January in April the trend level Feburary is low 13% , but this kind of be a burden on is subsequently right the influence that serves industry reduces every months stage by stage 10% , decrease every months stage by stage to the influence of manufacturing industry and bldg. 12.5% .
According to statistic, because the United States affects the number Zhou Erda that new coronal virus dies to arrive 3393 people, rank the world the 3rd, be next to Italy and Spain.
Suffer epidemic situation effect, US stock collection must even more 30 years performance of the poorest quarter
American stock market points to week of 2 all fronts big 3 to drop, path point to record so that the biggest quarter drops since 1987, 500 indexes hire mark general so that the biggest quarter drops since financial crisis, because more and more evidence show, the craze of coronal shape virus of Euramerican country is caused to economy tremendous damage.
Mark general closing quotation of 500 indexes Zhou Er drops 42.1 a little bit, drop 1.60% , sign up for 2584.59 a little bit; Na Sida overcomes exponential closing quotation to drop 74 a little bit, drop 0.95% , sign up for 7700.1 a little bit; Closing quotation of Dow Jones index drops 410.3 a little bit, drop 1.84% , sign up for 21917.16 a little bit.
Public utility with estate a row Zhou Er drops the biggest board piece, drop respectively 4% with 3% . These two board piece the near future rises, suffer aid seek at investor can resist economy is low confused stock. The sources of energy rise nearly 1.6% . American crude oil and Bulunte crude oil is whole brought about global economy come to a standstill because of the epidemic situation of new coronal virus of Euramerican country in March, and Russia is sufferred with the price war between sand spy inflict heavy losses on. Science and technology close drop 1.9% , dish in walk along situation oscillation.
New York card hands in place to drop go up number comparing is a home 1.25:1, na Sida overcomes a stock exchange to be 1.04:1. Mark general 500 indexes component in one touch only 52 Zhou Xin is tall, touch without new low. 14 Na Sida overcome exponential component touch new tall, 37 touch new low.
American each card hands in place to add up to clinch a deal 13.13 billion, under the past 20 trade the day of day all clinchs a deal measure 15.75 billion.
As this public health of the United States crisis state worsens, commerce and business activity are immersed in backwater, 500 indexes and path point to mark general in when ending first quarter, compare 20% above dropped below 2019, become history go up to turn by the ox one of prices with ursine the rapiddest rate.
This also is mark general the biggest since 500 indexes have a record drop first quarter, because the government asks consumer stays in the home, bring about business to lay stop work of temporary stop business, business, a large number of employee by furlough. Equity of science and technology weighs bigger Na Sida to overcome an index to achieve the biggest quarter dropped since the bottom 2018.
Because this economist reduced the growth 2020 to anticipate considerably, investor pays close attention to will very gloomy quarterly money newspaper, afraid company beak a contract and large-scale cut down the member of persons employed will cause severe decline.
Round before the finance that place did not see and stock market of help of monetary stimulation measure are small last week go tall, the stock market before this considerably concussion, index 500 indexes are in mark general to trade twice continuously day appeared to soare first 9% , steep fall next of 12% go situation. But this still can't give investor hope.
Long Carol Schleif of deputy presiding investment expresses Abbot Downing, in the past a month is sufferred after inflicting heavy losses on, people does not wish to be on any direction now in a large-scale detain is noted, especially from begin next week, we will peep the expression of the enterprise in the comment from first money newspaper.
Division Steven DeSanctis represents strategy of group of rich Ruijin be in harmony, in Zhou Si (on April 2) announce unemployed gold data and Zhou Wu are asked first (on April 3) announce before blame farming obtain employment reported in March, a lot of investor support cautious attitude possibly also. This week can have news of more multiple pound later on.
(article origin: Assemble a network)
