Raised gallinaceous owner air 2019 - filling column!
Annual 3-4 month is busy season of tradition filling column, the filling column of this one period of time measures pair of future the egg price of 12 months goes situation is crucial, and price of 3-4 month egg slants this year strong, fail to restrain filling column enthusiasm effectively, because this person is right,second half of the year is mixed the prices first half of the year is relatively next year pessimistic. The supply of current egg carries can generalize with a word: "In amount of livestock on hand yield chicken compared to the same period not tall, mothball chicken is enough, high fever of filling column enthusiasm is not retreated " .
1, do not calculate than the corresponding period of in former years in photograph of quantity of amount of livestock on hand yield chicken tall
No matter the data statistic from each orgnaization, still be valence interval sees 3-4 month egg, compare the corresponding period of in former years to be in normal level in quantity of laying hen amount of livestock on hand currently. Pursue as follows, this year price of egg of area of collect of 3-4 month laborious and 2015, 2016, was in same interval basically 3 this years 2018, attribute non-leap year level.
10-12 month filling column estimated rapid growth last year, and egg price is however at the beginning of March pull quickly go up, and hopeful continued in April the concussion March slants to go by force situation, this above all price of 1-2 month egg goes profit from considerably this year low, force breed door a large number of going out clean out old chicken, reduced measure in the amount of livestock on hand that produces chicken. Next, an epidemic situation of former put oneself in another's position such as synovia bursa is big the area diffuses, cause laying rate not to amount to mark generally. Still a bit cannot be ignore, today spring spurt in prices of each district vegetable, pull change egg requirement.
2.Mothball chicken is enough, filling column enthusiasm is not decreased
Price of seedling of the chicken end March is close to 3.5 yuan / , be in perch of historical the corresponding period, this specification breeds a filling column enthusiasm to upsurge is not false appearance, be objective existence, and look from the circumstance that at present gallinaceous seedling books, enthusiasm of 5-6 month filling column was not reduced, the abidance that 17 years second half of the year begins this profit from gain, breed a capital abundant.
The gentleman that occupy an egg understands from business of many large feed, year since the amount has their client to drop somewhat, but the sales volume of feed is in however growth. To this kind of phenomenon, the individual explains to be in environmental protection pressure falls, the part is small, medicinal powder door exit, and the breed aquatics that remain door be in generally augment dimensions.
Egg gentleman viewpoint: These yield that add newly can be met be digested because of the breach of vegetable, live pig by the part, also can diffuse to be concealed partly because of what raise epidemic situation of former put oneself in another's position, but accumulate certain level, especially second half of the year, break balance of supply and demand sooner or later.
Egg futures is thematic 2019 - fry go up!
Futures trades anticipate, want to have the reason that rise in price only, OK taletelling, especially agreement of long-dated busy season. Of unmanned former days make inquires " pork " , because of African swine fever, break up times hind still heat is not decreased, become shine of the stock market together this year beautiful scenery line, and hog futures has not appeared on the market, on futures can " scramble egg " , fry albumen to replace.
The purpose of brunt capital is to make money, want to the story can be told only, can acclaim wantonly, fry medicinal powder door come in great numbers perch is received dish when, brunt capital is being taken retreat money whole body greatly. If was close to price of the egg when complete a business transaction to go up really, medicinal powder door can drink bit of boiling water, will be faced with perch to cover the breed aquatics that protect otherwise enterprise again loot!
Live pig price achieved historical record in June 2016, amount to 20 yuan / kilogram, and 16 years egg of the corresponding period produces a division all valence still is in 3.1 yuan / jin relatively low, accordingly the individual thinks, of live pig and egg replace a relation finite, egg price measures a decision by the amount of livestock on hand of oneself from beginning to end. Live pig of the whole nation at the beginning of April gives column all valence is 15.4 yuan / kilogram, leave 20 yuan / kilogram still differ far. Of course, vegetable this year index also is in perch, of vegetable and egg replace a relation stronger, but vegetable manufacturing cycle is shorter, crop restores fast.
The accord with maintaining an order that breeds an enterprise this year - futures
The egg futures this year puts in the viewpoint of two kinds of polarity: Because industrial investor fills currently column enthusiasm is rising, be opposite generally price of egg of second half of the year is anxiety-ridden, and invest orgnaization criterion to hold 2 the son of one's master closely, heat fries albumen to replace. Live pig breach can be in after all how old the price that eat an egg is pulled to rise on degree, still cannot decide at present, but only from in laying hen amount of livestock on hand the quantity looks, prospective egg supplies constant growth is big probability.
Once heat up fried albumen to replace finite, with current filling column trend, prospective egg price will face huge risk, so the author suggests, breed an enterprise to want to pay close attention to egg futures closely to go this year situation, once corresponding agreement appears,can assure the high price of gallinaceous field profit adequately, decisive enter set protect, lock up profit of the field that decide chicken ahead of schedule, avoid second half of the year or the risk that next year egg price takes low first half of the year.
To breeding an enterprise, no matter 08/09/01, the author suggests strongly not to make spec much sheet, abide by strictly set defend a principle, it is a storehouse with gallinaceous field output, undertake covering to the 09 agreement later period keep a cost. Come loose to the spec door, short line can arrange technical area climate to do only much, and in long term should pay close attention to main area closely.
Price of near future egg goes situation
On April 14 on Sunday, countrywide egg price is common small go up, produce an area to go up be more than sell a division. Weekday produces a division all valence 3.3 yuan / jin, go up than Zhou Wu 0.06 yuan, the whole nation basically produces what the area all has distinct range to rise. Sell a division all valence 3.5 yuan / jin, go up than Zhou Wu 0.03 yuan, beijing and Shanghai are stable, guangdong rebounds, the price receives Beijing gradually, come true what say before the author " north is strong south weak " cannot last. Produce and sale two ground all valence and period consignor catenary goes situation as follows:
Egg gentleman atelier on April 14 data
Individual view, supply and demand is smooth in April, space of price wave motion is limited, do not have the requirement that goes up to drop greatly greatly, next week one, 2 hopeful are maintained small go up impetus, but strength general somewhat abate, zhou San, Zhou Si goes firm gradually or small callback. Proposal breed aquatics door people do not want store up money, lest miss the opportunity of costly shipment. Above is view of egg gentleman individual, offer reference only, labor welcome came at 8 o'clock in the evening the communication between direct seeding of egg gentleman quick worker.
Above all is viewpoint of egg gentleman individual, pure belong to pull an egg, offer only spit groove, cannot regard investment as the basis, if produce loss accordingly, do not be in charge of without exception.
(be over) egg gentleman on April 14, 2019
