Price of near future egg goes situation
On March 28 on Thursday, countrywide egg price continues to rise, among them north takes money fast at south, red egg takes money fast at powdery egg. Produce a division today all valence 3.25 yuan / jin, go up 0.04 yuan, go up more contractible than yesterday, the powdery egg continuance that red egg produces area and Hunan, Hubei goes up situation, but the powdery egg of Heibei walks along goods to slant slow, the price rises to be not moved. Sell a division all valence 3.51 yuan / jin, go up 0.05 yuan, shanghai and Beijing rise, guangdong takes money flatly, the price is stable. Zhou Si JD1905 continues low a concussion, closing quotation at 3461 (price of two ground egg goes produce and sale situation as follows)
The individual predicts: Big probability of Zhou Wu Beijing continues to rise, be in Beijing guide below, red egg produces an area to go up continuance situation, but strength is compared a few days ago abate, powdery egg produces an area to be stabilized ahead of schedule, arrive next week on the weekend one, 2, countrywide egg price has the risk of small callback, but callback range is narrow. Unless breed door people when rise in price cherish makes work, and when cheapening panicky sex undersell, so the extent that cheapen expected hard.
Before Pure Brightness rise in price anticipate cash adequately already, breed a fall after a rise that should prevent stock up hind more, after all of tomb-sweeping day pull move finite. Of course, whether to fall, fall how many, not certain, but this kind of risk is existence, hope to breed door people raise risk consciousness, seize the opportunity that rise in price, do not rise in price cherish makes work, cheapen throw money.
Is filling column very mad?
Recently hearsay of all corners of the country, sheet of gallinaceous seedling platoon already arrived September, breed an insanity filling column, this one message makes the author special shake, seek testimony to enterprise of partial breeding, hatch immediately. The course makes visit with all possible means, reach the following conclusion:
1, there will be those who order a young plant really in September, but not be a sheet to September
Certain business is step-by-step production, want to old chicken falls into disuse only, have to shift to an earlier date brood, it is very normal to there will be gallinaceous seedling order in September so, but cannot explain the gallinaceous seedling of 4-9 month is ordered.
2, open filling column of month of the 3-4 after year really very mad, but order of seedling of 5-6 month chicken is in normal level
3-4 month filling column measures mad reason, was last year above all made money, everybody financing is abundant, and 3-4 month brood produces egg height to be able to catch up with the consumptive height mid-autumn, but breed door people still scruple somewhat to the filling column after May, the order of month of 5-6 of partial hatch enterprise does not resemble passing call the turn so hot.
Accordingly the individual thinks, the quantity of amount of livestock on hand this year will be compared last year a step, and growth trend still is continueing, so egg price is inferior to for certain last year, but unapt also be reduced to poverty arrives 17 years so miserable. Anyhow, this year is one " be on short commons, hunger is not dead " the year's harvest, "Protect this superabundant, gain is narrow " .
Swine fever of infinite hype Africa is met, breed misdirect door!
Those who be worth vigilance is, because egg price rose in March, the blind and upbeat mood inside travel begins to spread again, this pair of second half of the year and prices is extremely next year adverse first half of the year, right breed aquatics door long-term interests will cause great harm!
Review last year, egg price is rising mid-autumn, bring about upbeat mood to diffuse, acclaim environmental protection indefinitely, think egg price went up from now on a step, again also won't under 4, result the end of the year makes a face with respect to bang bang. Acclaim African swine fever indefinitely again inside travel now, think to be in of 2 senior fellow apprentice pull move below, what egg price will return 18 years is hot.
The author must point out, no matter prospective egg price goes situation how, swine fever of infinite hype Africa is illogical. Of live pig and egg replace a relation finite, live pig has gap, may not can be pulled move how many egg to consume; Next, pork is compatriots the biggest flesh kind consumable, the issue closes the national economy and the people's livelihood, once pork soares indefinitely, will affect whole price, affect social stability even, country won't sit by and watch is paid no attention to, lay in the flesh, entrance flesh to go up together at the appointed time! Trade war is close already end, the United States the move such as large quantities of good in quality and cheap in price pork, beef.
African swine fever is right of the egg pull move finite, but can increase birds meat consumption considerably however, so although 2 senior fellow apprentice do not have skill to help tall egg price, but the skill more than sufficient that holds a bottom in the palm. Want African swine fever only not disappear stops, the price that clean out chicken will be in perch, egg price should have bit of a sign of disturbance or trouble only, breed door can clean out chicken quickly, reduce amount of amount of livestock on hand thereby. Can see from next graphs, the egg price this year interacts with the price that clean out chicken the gender is first-rate, egg price rises a bit, the value that clean out chicken is little go up, conversely small fall, the specification cleans out chicken smooth.
egg price is unapt this year too poor, produce can be in from beginning to end can accuse limits. If do not have 2 senior fellow apprentice to be being held in the palm, the author is right this year the judgement of prices is not " protect this superabundant, gain is narrow " , if come again an avian flu is flush, block a way of escape that clean out chicken up dead, that becomes 17 years really.
Not bad, swine fever is in, roup is not had, the great good fortune of the industry!
Futures of near future egg operates strategy
Future 12 months, the risk with egg the biggest price happens probably in next year first half of the year, and the Spring Festival was in 2020 in January, be in 01 agreement inside period of complete a business transaction, so the author thinks 01 from long-term look, still have bigger drop space, because this author already began distribution at Zhou San of 01 long term empty sheet. But this sheet with a view to is long term, the process is unavoidable do sth over and over again, so must light storehouse. Next graphs are author week the schemes of 4 the check that maintain a warehouse in the morning:
As to 1909 agreement, the author still is old thinking, wait to do patiently much mid-autumn the opportunity of prices, dot do not arrive to be not done, dot arrived time did not arrive to also be not done.
Above all is viewpoint of egg gentleman individual, pure belong to pull an egg, offer only spit groove, cannot regard investment as the basis, if produce loss accordingly, do not be in charge of without exception.
(be over) egg gentleman on March 28, 2019
