Fall really allowed!
In the State Council standing conference holds two day hind, fall accurate formal be born. Standing conference points out the State Council September 4, insist to implement firm monetary policy and fine tuning of timely preliminary adjustments, accelerate implement the measure that reduces level of effective interest rate, apply in time fall generally to be mixed definitely directional fall to wait for policy tool definitely. That evening, the personage inside a lot of course of study thinks the near future falls is big probability incident definitely, and will carry brace up market confidence.
"Chinese people bank is released today fall standard policy, with the State Council before this the spirit of standing conference keeps consistent, reflected current support adequately those who reduce social financing cost is hypostatic economy progress, oriented, this releases more comfortable fluidity to sequel, and form more perfect macroscopical economy environment to wait to have positive effect. " severe leap forward of chief inspector of research of wisdom warehouse center says easy house academy.
New visual sense of evening of data chart north offers a plan
Falling is not to be aimed at estate definitely
Fall every time accurate, can many people rise its and estate market connection. So, fall this after allowing, delivered to estate market again why to plant signal?
Will see the Central Bank fall this first is definitely how state -- develop to support hypostatic economy, reduce social financing real cost, chinese people bank reduces reserve of financial orgnaization deposit to lead 0.5 percent in the round on September 16, 2019 definitely; Increase to promote right small the supportive strength of enterprise of small, civilian battalion, again additional the urban commercial bank that runs inside area of provincial to be in only administration moves deposit reserve to lead a percent downward surely, will divide on November 15 at will be being mixed on October 15 second carry out reach the designated position, reduce 0.5 percent every time.
In other words, fall this accurate purpose is supportive substance economy actually, reduce social financing real cost. In the meantime, in original and comprehensive fall on standard base, continue to be aimed at small small company and civilian battalion enterprise to undertake falling allowing, what this also reflected the domain that supports to the key such as small small company currently to give aid to actively is oriented. Increase further to the supportive strength of civilian battalion enterprise especially, have better active sense to the development of relevant enterprise.
Tone finance orgnaization deposits money below decision of Chinese people bank reserve is led and the spirit of standing conference maintains the State Council before this consistent, this second fall exact scope near 9 one billion two hundred and fifteen million seven hundred and fifty-two thousand one hundred and ninety-two, directional fall to be achieved definitely one billion two hundred and fifteen million seven hundred and fifty-two thousand one hundred and ninety-two, will tell from strength, it is in recent years dimensions falls the biggest accurate,
"This second falling is not to be aimed at estate market definitely, the adjusting control of estate respect is in short-term inside can not appear slacken sign. " all arrowroot look for room vice-president Yuan Chengjian to say, the hasten that superintends policy to estate market is close, fall standard policy makes very hard also financing area flows into estate respect. To room look forward to, the relaxation that expects area of financing of second half of the year is unlikely, best choice still accelerates a sale to alleviate the pressure that cash flows.
Fall before allowing, already built case " large dams "
Although be worth " Jin Jiuyin 10 " , but estate market, especially city of a gleam of still is in microtherm to move in. Academy of easy house estate was released on September 4 " 40 cities of countrywide built commodity house to clinch a deal in August 2019 report " show, in August, 40 typical cities build commodity house to clinch a deal area annulus is compared drop 9% , drop compared to the same period 3% . Not only such, 3 kinds of cities clinch a deal measure annulus comparing to all drop. Especially city of 4 a gleam of, build commodity house to clinch a deal area annulus is compared drop 19% , drop compared to the same period 16% .
"Falling is not to stimulate estate definitely. Fall policy has been tightened up in the light of estate for many times before allowing, build large dams, avoid capital to flow into estate. " Wei of chief analyst magnify analyses Central Plains real estate, from July 2019 for the portion, all sorts of is aimed at of estate credit, capital tighten up policy to appear ceaselessly, accumulative total is tightened up in the light of estate fund, central each branch has amount to 25 times all sorts of policy and make known one's position; In addition, whole looks August 2019 the policy of estate adjusting control of the portion, aggregate amount to 60 times.
Look inside course of study, adjusting control of current estate market is loosened very hard also. On July 30, conference of the Political Bureau puts forward clearly first " the method that does not regard short-term stimulation as economy estate " , reflected price of central control room to rise, the determination that ensures estate makes the same score steady healthy progress, the possibility very little of untie a person of policy of adjusting control of each district of predicting second half of the year. In the meantime, central Bank conference also asks to maintain individual housing borrow money reasonable and moderate growth, forbidden consumption loan is violated compasses use at buying a house. Below such big setting, stability will be prospective building city advocate fundamental key.
But want vigilance to acclaim a risk
"Below the circumstance that building city policy tightens up, fall to be opposite definitely building city interest is very limited. " magnify Wei says, fall to be able to alleviate definitely the capital pressure of estate company, right the person that buy a house is mortgaged for also can obtain stable credit price relatively.
Nevertheless, look in magnify Wei, principle of estate adjusting control is chaos is moved surely, go up an exorbitant and inevitable raise the quota, "Anticipate quietly price, certain room price, firmly " requirement of overall adjusting control, adverse to adjusting control city continues to ask duty. The place in occupying produces statistic, 2019 1-8 month, policy of countrywide estate adjusting control is as high as 367 times, rose 315 times of 1-8 month than 2018 17% , refresh of accumulative total frequency record of estate adjusting control. Among them, tighten up policy to be released continuously in the light of estate banking, include estate to mortgage all sorts of financing channel of development business, have different rate tighten up.
Fall after allowing, also want the venture that vigilant house price acclaims afresh. "Price of actual main rooms rises to upgrade with respect to what cause of all kinds adjusting control easily. " severe leap forward says, each district estate moves in, should make full use of this comfortable monetary liquidity is pulled move just needed to buy a room to want sue for peace reasonable perfective the demand that buy a house, but should be on guard of all kinds intermediary and acting orgnaization are false sale and the circumstance that incite autograph of the person that buy a house to make an appointment with. Want good in this policy interest big frame to fall especially, trade to estate order needs further stability, the policy that lives to be not fried with true tamp room is oriented.
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Editor: ? Glucoside?
