1, center Mom plans abysmal line ground to fall weight of local debt risk directly to 0: On August 23, 2018, the message says, superintend considering falling weight of local debt risk from 20% attune to 0. Analytic personage thinks, this will promote local debt appeal significantly, the bank will increase the investment gross of local debt. China achieve Zhou Guanna of negotiable securities analyst to think, if local debt risk counterpoises to be adjusted again,be 0, will release gold of bigger commercial bank capital to take up, can use at further credit puts in or credit debt is configured, conduce to the conduction of wide credence. Press the scale of 80%-90% of debt of bank hold place, risk weight 20% computation, can release venture capital dimensions 2.6 trillion yuan - 3 trillion yuan or so, the line of credit that can release corresponding dimensions or forehead of credit debt configuration are spent, be helpful for wide credit policy be being conducted downward further.
2, 1.35 trillion yuan increase local debt newly understandable the job that finishs to need. Weight of local debt risk is moved to 0, mean occupy in venture capital than going up, local debt will be enjoyed open debt to wait to encounter together with national debt, country. After prep above of local debt yield both, predict will remarkable promotion to bank appeal. If be finished to the accumulative total end September according to requirement each district,add special bond newly to issue scale in principle to be not gotten under 80% , so according to 1.35 trillion yuan add the forehead and the volume that already did not send 200 billion yuan newly to come estimation, be in next inside time of a half moon, the market between the bank will be greeted 800 billion - 1 trillion yuan of places are special debt furnishs. Below the requirement of the system dominant position that maintains growth, the tall canal that believes 5 big state-owned commercial banks people also meet understand tacitly, the special place debt of 1.35 trillion should be OK finish political job by demand. Apparent end Mom adjusts local debt the 0 risks weight like be national debt, yield returns prep above national debt 40 base point, the local debt that spends with respect to this bit of forehead is insufficient sell! Center Mom is in again challenge the economics law of current world alone!
3, center Mom plans abysmal line ground to fall weight of local debt risk directly to 0, turn on the water implementation greatly six hundred and fifty-eight million and sixty-seven thousand four hundred and fifty-six targets! In March 2018 end, fundamental money remaining sum of China is 32.1 trillion yuan, and M2 remaining sum is 174 trillion, monetary multiplicator is about 5.41. Fall weight of local debt risk to 0, can release venture capital dimensions 2.6 trillion yuan - 3 trillion yuan of or so money. The commercial bank mortgages local debt again center Mom, repass the monetary multiplier effect of 5.41 times, will OK realize the RMB money of six hundred and fifty-eight million and sixty-seven thousand four hundred and fifty-six to put in!
4, six hundred and fifty-eight million and sixty-seven thousand four hundred and fifty-six monstrous floods, can you bear down on where? The Ministry of finance before this and Central Bank each other rancor, it is the true portraiture of economy of a China nevertheless. Everybody feels the other side exerts oneself insufficient, look this the Central Bank still is submit to humiliation, carry a weight again, achieve Chinese economy hard fast ground of good progress do one's best turns on the water, the suffering in center Mom heart! Because author understanding ends Mom is this,stem from but, be forced to turn on the water again six hundred and fifty-eight million and sixty-seven thousand four hundred and fifty-six. So where can these cash flow? It is iron apparently fair base. The place sends debt " tearful " on mix interest rate 40 base point, the bank takes advantage of a favorable situation add a storehouse in great quantities. Card signs up for on on August 23, 2018 dispatch, consult announcement discovery, more than Guangdong, debt of hair of and other places of near future Jiangsu, Zhejiang is brushed together also brush rise of more standard interest rate 40 base point. Be in know from the personage inside course of study, after afterwards Ministry of finance asked to accelerate special bond to issue plan on August 14, superintendency layer is directive to issueing interest rate to make also, requirement place debt bear sell business to bid interest rate all is worth before samer time national debt 5 days at least rise 40 base point (BP) . A bond bear sell business to say, "What coach before is special debt bids interest rate wants rise 40 base point, the result casts line out, partly square general debt also rise 40 base point. " the author thinks, sodden apple is shoddy, one can, long-term affirmation is no good. Look this bank financing should cast capital construction, the employer that long highway sells cement should get rich. Future sees capital construction 3 years likelihood general relay is landed!
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