Rely on chart absolutely! 5 big league matches surely win data essence analyse -- kill Zhuang Bi to

After the world cup, masses football enthusiasm drops abruptly, the hard to avoid in the heart a few minutes of lose and do not abandon. But to fan football regale rests ceaselessly, 5 big league matches of European ignite flames of war again is again orgiastic prelusive. World cup year give the writer most too feeling is full prize ring much a lot of the Xiaobai that will arrive suddenly first, and the newlywed person that still fills enthusiasm to buying variety after the world cup ends is gutty and curious the condition that is like thirsty. Nevertheless, the study of aught needs a quantitative change to arrive the process of qualitative change, full prize is not exceptional also. Best to new personality study method is Cong Mou proceed with of a league matches, arrive by the dot successive.

So the article mights as well let us from Europe 5 big league matches begin, union is many historical data and inferior dish the index finishs full prize to enter rank surely the class of classics, continue to seek the big probability incident in football data and law of value, aid everybody to reap more football fortune.

In full prize domain, analytic method is varied, but methods of any a kind of analysis won't break away from data to exist alone. Historical data offerred advantageous basis and hope for match analysis, but the statistic of data and the terminus of start and rather than that inducing is everything only. There is lasting formula winning a ball on the world, reality and theory always also go very far, the essence of statistical analytics is not to should prove what is academic, want to try to do however, dong Shu tells us truly according to backside what. Lane ' Dong Shu is occupied in accumulate incident of contained principle, rule, big probability, abstract an information that conduces to us analysing the race then.

In all sports project, luck and actual strength are likewise fundamental, but relatively at other group ball games, the luck payoff in football game is bigger. We lead incident and rule probably in esteem while, also want the likelihood that awe-stricken small probability produces, be just like Brazil and ground of Chinese real swords and spears-the real thing to play a game, almost everybody can think Brazilian get victory is without be concerned about. If that kicks 100 repeatedly, 1000, 10000? Chinese group get victory appears and do not have so mysterious. In fact, the " of an unexpected winner of this kind of " on the football ground cans be found everywhere, the chance that so we also should admit football motion is medium and the influence that luck element brings.

Say European football 5 big league matches, everybody has not been familiar with again, this is a general designation of before value of pair of global football levels, consequence, commerce is ranked 5 league matches, include England football league matches of first class of football of league matches of first class of football of league matches of super league matches, Spanish football first class, Germany, Italy, and league matches of French football first class. The football league matches of the country of adjacent of photograph of these 5 crisscross represented the level with world the toppest football, gathered the player with world the toppest football, coach, judgment, it may be said is the vane that world football develops. Of course, with them the country of photograph adjacent has higher football level as much, for instance Portuguese, Holand, Belgian, Keluodeya. The center that says Europe is world football so has been been not at all.

5 big league matches of European are belonged to cross year make league matches, general from in those days the last ten-day of a month in August opens contest to come to end to the in May the last ten-day of a month second year. Among them Ying Chao, on the west armour, meaning armour, law armour all has 20 team to take part in the match, have amount 38 rounds 380 matches. And De Jia is 18 team, will have amount 34 rounds 306 matches. Article author chose 2005/06 of 5 big league matches to 2017/18 nearly 13 sports season add up to the relevant data of 23738 matches as research example. Include half full-court to surpass the main area data such as fruit, rank, red yellow shop sign, and Macao and BET365 inferior dish first eventually dish a nearly 100 thousand index data.

Between the impression of people, armour should be Ying Chaohe on the west most two league matches that somebody enrages, heart armour hard to avoid can be considered as alone too league matches, and meaning armour as once " of " microcosmic cup, what experienced very long period of time since incident of " of " phone door is low fan period, a few sports season had rebounding sign again recently.

As C collect join in Youwentusi, meaning armour is answered certainly in new sports season acquire more attention and person energy of life.

Law armour often is considered as a by the mat in 5 big league matches, this is an athletics actual strength the league matches of noisy force of ambitious Yu Ying, the star that walks out of from law armour is absent a few, as Neimaerjia alliance bus multitudes, of Mu Ba Pei rise abruptly, france carries off world cup champion, plus in recent years enchanter comes forth in large numbers, law armour will naturally increase the force of oneself further.

The integral style of 5 big league matches has a characteristic each, rhythm of Ying Chao match is faster, pay attention to attack the Xi Jiajiang of fluent sex; that prevents antagonism of changeover, body and competition to move a technology, make a way more exquisite, kick more gracefully, for example cling to of Sa pass accuse to kick law hard to avoid to be able to let De Jia of; of match rhythm rein in pay attention to whole to cooperate relatively, tactical accomplishment is taller, armour of meaning of relatively clean; pays attention to ball wind defend implement power with tactics, italian football not only defend conspicuous, producing coach also person trap looks because historical reason is in,when fierce; France Africa formed division of a lot of French, so law armour has player of a lot of Africa, its technology is superior, fitness is good, but the group cooperates to organize gender and photograph of additionally 4 league matches to be not worth than be being shown slightly with discipline.

Although football style is endless identical, but the evolution of world football is appearing hasten same sex. Graph 1 to the graph the historical data of 5 shows the has 46% on average competition in 5 big league matches wins victory for home team, the match of 26% ends with draw, the competition that still has 28% additionally is visiting team get victory. Of armour of its Chinese and Western advocate get the better of probability highest, of armour of law of; of draw probability lowest advocate get the better of probability lowest, and draw probability is highest. In addition, the probability of draw of half of a game or contest of law armour and meaning armour is opposite taller.

Graph 1 Ying Chao history gets the better of smooth negative probability

Graph 2 armour history gets the better of smooth negative probability on the west

Graph history of 3 heart armour gets the better of smooth negative probability

Graph history of 4 meaning armour gets the better of smooth negative probability

Graph history of 5 laws armour gets the better of smooth negative probability

If pursue 6 to the graph 10 are shown on the west of armour advocate field dominant position is the largest, home team enters 0.43 balls left and right sides on average more than visiting team. And other league matches is close of a few sports season advocate field advantage is in less than of 0.4 ball. De Jia's field all scores a goal probability of number, old 2.5 balls probability, bilateral goal, and half big one inside probability all first what list 5 big league matches, law armour all ranks mat bottom in these a few data. Look on average from whole, respect of number of the oldest goal basically gives the whole audience now 8, 9, 10 balls, half of a game or contest is 5, 6 balls. The whole audience is large 1.5 balls, big 2.5 balls, big the probability of 3.5 balls correspondence is ordinal for 70%+ , 50%+ , 20%+ .

Half big one inside (half of a game or contest scores a goal) probability wanders in 70% the left and right sides, the author once led data to had made such count for example with global football compensate, if we full-court big rate of 2.5 balls compensate and half big the one compensate inside is led undertake correlation, so when big rate of 2.5 balls compensate is less than 1.81 when, corresponding half big one inside average of whole of probability prep above, when full-court big when rate of 2.5 balls compensate is more than 2.81 above, half big the one probability inside still maintains in 50% . If again Europe compensate advocate rate success compensate and half big one inside compensate rate undertakes comparing is opposite, when advocate rate success compensate is less than 1.61 and be more than 3.11 when, corresponding half big one inside average of whole of probability prep above, at the same time advocate rate success compensate is less than 1.61 correspondence half big one inside probability prep above advocate the numerical value that rate success compensate is more than 3.11 correspondence, integral graph formed the arc of type of a smiling face.

Graph gross of 6 goal of Ying Chao history

Graph 7 armour history scores a goal on the west gross

Graph gross of goal of history of 8 heart armour

Graph gross of goal of history of 9 meaning armour

Graph gross of goal of history of 10 laws armour

Graph 11 statistic associate with 8 sports season the field of 5 big league matches all amount of red yellow shop sign, ying Chao gives a card to count below the body antagonism of high strenth is 5 big league matches however in least, all 3.5 pieces. Because,this is Ying Chao to assure the race fluent degree with viewing rate, of the judgment execute the law measure is relatively full. Contrary, on the west of armour sentence punishing measure is the strictest, all show 5.7 pieces or so, those who pay attention to the technology below the foot on the west the " that armour gets a judge more easily takes care of " .

Graph field of history of 11 5 big league matches all count of red yellow shop sign

Indeed, the summary of these data sexes can not tell you to should bet directly a certain option, but learn angle to look from pure probability, if some kind of circumstance fails to be hit tardy or it is to be hit one after another, prop up in what the history stabilizes probability is decision-making?