"Unmanned " wind rises, future but period

Civil / Yu Yisha

Awe-stricken heaven and earth, awe-stricken science and technology

Since artificial intelligence has the capacity of study, have the capacity that grows habitat, so it is one day sure meeting and argue of human wisdom front...

"Unmanned " can be to be like topic of philosophy of the brimless like the universe, also can do careful analysis around the technology merely, but the wonderful part of this topic depends on philosophy and science and technology must not parting. Of course, this also is one has not clear topic, go very easily logistic to confuse blast and do not know oneself, still consider excitement oneself.

How user tarry, should this be the body of the most painful thorough realized complete Internet business? The user is in when, where are you? If have on 10 thousand on 1000 users, do you need to with how many employee go keep an eye on or tarry these users?

At this moment, unmanned foundation concept was formed. Below a lot of setting, the person cannot exist, but must exist again, this moment, we need to replace a person with automation tool, perhaps say to reflect the person's existence to feel, interact with the user and finish a series of jobs. This kind of backside that replace is the drive that performance upgrades.

Unmanned the first phase -- automation

Unmanned the first phase, not be intelligence, however automation. Can delimit this both in muddled of a lot of people equal-sign, the difference is very actually big. Say simply, automation is a system according to the person beforehand set sparks in specific hour, if A, if B, so C, the system does not need to do judgement, analysis and decision-making wait for thinking movement, just spark output can, and for instance AI must have intelligence apparently thinking movement.

But in user eye, it is so clear that this border is done not have, what what he experiences is the result that the system outputs, those who come how to be outputted then, what is the process intermediate, they do not know, also do not care. This is a lot of people the main reason of promiscuous automation and AI.

AI wants from the hatch in automation, among them crucial step is data is accumulated. Earthly person knows now, do not talk about AI without data, of course it is algorithmic that AI still has another essential factor.

Must explain a bit, automation is not the way with AI only development, but automation is the method with AI development highest efficiency.

Because automation is itinerary,the choice that made a large number of tall dependency allows data, these data are the education with machine best study base. If do not have automation this process, people faces the biggest challenge is data clean, find out from inside all sorts of mixed and disorderly data can foster intelligence those, the process is inenarrable.

Lift an example to explain the data of automation is idiosyncratic: It is the processing in the supermarket is good that automation is just like, the bag is in last film or the vegetable in the box, you are redemptive go be being washed leave boiler directly, of course the vegetable that you also can go to market buying all sorts of doing not have to be machined through processing, but come home should expend trim vegetable for cooking of a lot of kongfu.

Unmanned the 2nd phase -- machine study

What to have data to be done next? The action that allows machine study mankind is logistic. This learning process at least can fractionation is 3 levels:

1. studies the act law of cognitive user;

2. studies the alternant law between automation program and user, include contact data or go up data of be issued to lower levels;

What 3. surmounts automation is inflexible, once upon a time face the sublimate in two processes, answer way that finds uncertainty circumstance to fall, this is judgement, analysis and decision-making.

Be based on afore-mentioned measure, AI can be outputted, a large number of tests should be passed in the process, at this moment algorithmic contribution is very large, good algorithm is met get twice the result with half the effort. If be in automation phase, the rate that the machine replaces a person is 50% ～ 70% , so AI phase is 60% ～ 90% .

But no matter how, machine cannot 100% replace a person, that is to say, true on this level nobody are nonexistent. Advanced of course end can be on user experience of 100% unmanned, but always cannot leave a person in back end, carrying ability after that is to examine the mainest position of unmanned degree relative superiority or inferiority.

The subjective motive of human development AI is not the existence feeling that boycotts oneself for certain, just let AI emancipatory manpower cannot is or replace those relatively elementary with the behavior with high repeatability, of course this also is divided with respect to what had the opposite on any account of AI, do the thing that the mankind cannot do apparently, those do prep above of nature of its intelligence extent the accident that duplicates work.

Unmanned the 3rd phase -- man-machine rich weichis

Those more advanced artificial intelligence, can evolve into the adversary that is the mankind probably in the future. This is not exaggerate sth just to scare people, however cosmic path. Human original idea is not such, but how many thing can go by person oneself again accuse? Any life style cannot. The develops to always exceed us imagination of some things...

Person and machine have one fight surely. Had a lot of friends looked " 3 body " ? Although cannot take a novel to limit cosmic law, but natural path all along is mutual promotion and restraint between the five elements of yin and yang, alleged photograph is overcome, it is the dark forest in 3 body law, the world is unripe in wrestle, long in wrestle, ruined in wrestle also... circular move back and forth, it is to say metempsychosis.

Since artificial intelligence has the capacity of study, have the capacity that grows habitat, so it is one day sure meeting and argue of human wisdom front, this also accords with the rule of mutual promotion and restraint between the five elements.

This is unmanned the 3rd phase. Seemingly gutty and bodeful premonition: We want by machine dry, unmanned really!

The west is very much the scholar has put forward this kind of topic gravely and seek testimony ceaselessly, western thinking is analysed mostly from thing itself, but Oriental thinking more be good at jumping out outside has an insight into, often be to jump out western thinking can be found at a draught outside 3 bounds 100 consider the crux of the problem that does not get its to solve, scientific end always is philosophy.

So, use the method of Zhouyi, human future was seen with respect to clarity. But the problem is we always want what to do for the descendants, even if arrive,the proof is invalid later.

Of elite of western science and technology it is very important to remind, at least we should ponder over all sorts of possibility:

Does ◆ machine inbreak what disaster can the mankind cause?

◆ machine intelligence most beginning a possibility is fine be apt to, but if they are forced go up by human desire blind alley and strike back, what can you produce?

The mutation of what machine intelligence may ◆ have?

How is the affection of the affection of ◆ mankind and machine alternant?

◆ ...

The demon unreal of this world depends on, from the point of the person's angle, a lot of things are uncertain, who knows to a few bizarre doctors there are right now in the certain corner of the world? Still want to always maintain awe-stricken heart so, awe-stricken heaven and earth, awe-stricken science and technology.

(the author fastens actor float Uengager author)