On March 17, 2021 24 when (namely this Zhou Si at 0 o'clock) , finished product oil moves valence window will once more open. Data of orgnaization of much home market shows, if do not have unforeseen factor, predict at the appointed time (on March 17 that day) theoretic amplitude modulation is correspondence of price of attune of oil of domestic finished product about 230 yuan / ton. How to still need finally nevertheless to observe situation, wait to send change appoint authoritative announcement.
Li Yan of analyst of grand numerous information expresses, notable is, cumulative 2020 the tone price of end, this will be go beyond the year " 9 go up repeatedly " . Once go up,tone is fulfilled, since will becoming the active mechanism that move price to be carried out from December 2013, first " 9 go up repeatedly " , on refresh annulus the go beyond the year that tone price just creates " 8 go up repeatedly " record. And looked 2021, after valence is fulfilled, this second attune also will complete only year " 5 go up repeatedly " , of such length go up in what with dispute of portion of in former years Chang Han sees repeatedly, year of the sheet before this " 4 go up repeatedly " already was the longest record.
Why to rise? Epicycle moves ratio of the change inside price cycle to present Zheng Xiangbo to move. Main influencing factor has, american president is done obeisance to ascend the Shu that signed 1.9 trillion dollar to surround deliverance proposed law, indicating this act is official become effective. This act is Bai Dengzheng government office holds the post of first inside great and legislative project, also indicating at the same time do obeisance to ascend fulfilled the to constituency commitment before this. OPEC expresses in monthly report, petroleum demand will increase 5.89 million pails 2021 / day, amplitude is 6.5% , relatively on of the month beforehand appraise go up somewhat tone. The heartland that Yemen Hu Saiwu holds industry of oil of Xiang Sha spy expedites unmanned aircraft to erupt simultaneously fire missile, encounter an area to include Shateamei to be in Lasitannula (RAS TANURA) handles installation, this establishment is oily to Shateshi exit is crucial. Nevertheless assault did not succeed, also did not appear apparent loss, benefit is so elegant that benefit the respect says this is the unsuccessful assault that is aimed at global energy security. Bo Du of A of minister of sand spy energy straps A Qici infante to express, the Saudi Arabia will be in future a few months are arranged according to ours, 1 million pails decide when to cancel its stage by stage when we are convenient / the freewill and additional reduction in production of day, "We are not eager to such doing. "We are not eager to such doing..
Crude price moves Bulunte of Gao Cheng general on appraise beforehand 5 dollars, the 2nd season parts with the 3rd season on move to 75 dollars / bucket and 80 dollars / bucket. Lucky silver-colored group (UBS) general 2021 second half of the year Bulunte crude oil and WTI price beforehand appraise rises to be mixed to 75 dollars respectively 72 dollars. OPEC+ agrees consistently finally to will preserve scope of existing reduction of output basically in April, reason is the demand that renews from inside global epidemic situation still flimsy, allow Russia and Kazakstan Si Tan to be in only small in April increase production 130 thousand pails / day mixes 40 thousand pails / day. The United States up to fell when inventory of week EIA benzine on Feburary 26 reach 243.5 million pails, heat up in a steamer divides oily inventory to fall to 143 million pails, for since 2003 the biggest fall.
It is OK to review discovery, 2021, oil of domestic finished product moved marked price advancement to go four-wheel, specific move 4 times to go up, reduce 0 times, go aground 0 times, 795 yuan are moved on benzine add up to / ton, 765 yuan are moved on derv add up to / ton. According to grand numerous information is calculated, up to integrated change ratio was crude oil on March 12 6.37% , the amplitude modulation on correspondence is 200 yuan / ton. It is the 8th weekday of the cycle that move price at present, tone already was big probability incident on. After epicycle moves valence to pass, the pattern moving price 2021 will turn into " 5 go up 0 drop 0 hard and fast " .
From the point of wholesale respect, near future benzine suffers outside just needing to mix, collect prop up, trade price case still strong; And the amount is collected outside derv not as good as gas is expensive, trafficker of together with part puts undersell action, trade price of reason diesel oil division is small drop, but derv just needed to still be in ceaseless improvement. In light of retail side, at present the 92# of gas station of the petrifaction in Shandong area and 95# gas price are in respectively 6.57 mix 7.05 yuan / litre, the amplitude modulation on epicycle retail price or be in 0.17 yuan / or so litres, illicit home car advocate people full gasoline tank can be added before March 18.
Gas station is retail in light of the respect, favourable policy still is in continuance. Retail price of gas of civilian battalion gas station is compared more advocate low 0.4-0.6 of battalion gas station yuan / litre, favourable strength can amount to 1-1.3 during partial site activity yuan / litre.
Below one round of window that move price will on March 31, 2021 24 when open, of short duration of footing of OPEC+ reduction of output does not have a change, 1.9 trillion finance stimulation of American plans formal already be born, the probability that predicts finished product oil moves the air on valence below one round is bigger.
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