Client of new classics abb is carried in on March 17 report (10 thousand but justice) now (17 days) 24 when, oil of finished product of the 5th country moved valence window 2021 open. The orgnaization is forecasted generally, cumulative 2020 the tone price of end, case of oil price of domestic finished product is led probably " 9 go up repeatedly " .
Appear Chinese network coverage according to the road, acceptor acceptor wants petroliferous state limitation is supplied and the message effect that vaccinal and vaccinal speed accelerates, index crude oil begins to be climbed steadily all the time from 2021 litre.
Up to Beijing time on March 16 before dawn, price of settle accounts of futures of crude oil of WTI 4 month signs up for 65.39 dollars / bucket. Price of settle accounts of crude oil futures will sign up for Bulunte in May 68.88 dollars / bucket.
Check scheme origin: Net of Chinese oil official
Specific in light of, hu Xue analysis weighs eaves information analyst in, crude oil is stimulated your influence inside epicycle valuation cycle by American economy, risk kind after investment drops first, go up, the raise after international oil price ors first likewise continues to go up broken. Resolution of conference of OPEC+ minister class continues dimensions of the reduction of output before this is basic and changeless, sha Teyan grows freewill reduction of output 1 million pails / day till April, only Russia and Kazakstan Si Tan are permissive little scope increase production, go tall to establish fundamental key for shock of the price inside the pool inside this cycle. Dollar index follows beautiful debt yield rises cause commodity market bear pressure, crude price for a time wide cut fall after a rise, nevertheless American CPI data was not amounted to anticipate show inflationary pressure still can accuse blandly, this pacified market sentiment. Concussion of international oil price goes up below the influence, finished product oil is retail carry this periodic hopeful to greet tone window open again.
Eminent achieves Meng Peng of oily analyst of information finished product to also be opposite in end of client of new classics abb expresses, this cycle, whole of international crude price presents a concussion to close to go high situation, the rate of crude oil change that home calculates lies to be worth perch, finished product oil is retail price fixing " 9 go up repeatedly " be about to fulfil.
In data chart new classics abb 10 thousand but justice photograph
Adjust extent respect, achieve information to calculate according to eminent, up to on March 15 closing quotation, ratio of crude oil change closes at 4.58% , the amplitude modulation on retail price fixing is in corresponding finished product oil 230 yuan / ton. Convert is litre of price, namely 92# benzine should go up move 0.18 yuan / litre, 0# derv should go up move 0.2 yuan / litre. Calculate according to current range, after epicycle moves valence to fulfil, the car of small-sized illicit home that gasoline tank controls in 50L is added full one box oil will be floriferous 9 yuan or so, in addition, domestic 95# benzine will be comprehensive regain 7 yuan of timeses.
Eaves information also predicts in on March 17 24 when finished product oil is retail 230 yuan are moved on price fixing general / ton.
End of client of new classics abb notices in, domestic finished product is oily 2020 the price with " 4 go up repeatedly " receive an official. Enter 2021, domestic oil price already also came true " 4 go up repeatedly " , 795 yuan are moved on benzine add up to / ton, 765 yuan are moved on derv add up to / ton, if the attune on case of oil price of epicycle finished product is fulfilled, oil of domestic finished product moved valence to will appear 2021 " 5 go up repeatedly " pattern.
As we have learned, below one round of window that move price will on March 31 24 when open. Later period of refer home oil price goes situation, analysis of grand numerous information says, of short duration of footing of OPEC+ reduction of output does not have a change, 1.9 trillion dollar finance stimulation of American plans formal already be born, the probability that predicts finished product oil moves the air on valence below one round is bigger.
Analyst Yang Xiaofen is achieved to look in Jin Lian, international oil price maintains perch to move, because WTI encounters 66 dollars / the obstruction of the bucket, because this is short-term inside present shock dish whole situation, cost faces domestic oil price to carry display vigour to use abate, and current price already pushed domestic steam diesel oil go up to perch, the market needs proper time to digest early days to go up, market unilateral rises prices puts delay somewhat. But at present home market demand is in regain level stage by stage, each industry is accelerated into city rhythm, northern region spring ploughing begins in succession, regression of terminal market demand is normal, and enter works of routine overhaul refine raised March, integral resource supply decreases somewhat, in light of whole, prices of domestic steam derv as before bullish. (In APP of new classics abb)
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