Why does so much person believe lottery is to you can excogitate the rule to come?

The answer is very simple: Because lack the knowledge of probability theory.

Gambler is fallacious: Why somebody believes lottery has the law

The person of rule of most research lottery, was immersed in error of a thinking: Gambler is fallacious.

Gambler is fallacious view, because something happened a lot of times, happen unlikelily next accordingly; Because something is very long,perhaps did not happen, because this is met probably next,happen.

Cite a case, you cast dice 10 times, was at 1 o'clock. Some people can be immersed in gambler possibly fallacious: Next scarcely can be 1.

But in fact, when casting dice the next time, appear the probability of one remains 1/6.

Because,this is, around does not have correlation twice between cast.

This word is worth you to think carefully below:

Appear 11 times continuously the probability 1 o'clock is very low, but eleventh second appear the probability 1 o'clock and first time appear the probability 1 o'clock is same.

Understood above this example, you can from gambler fallacious in go.

Believe lottery has regular person, a lot of using gambler fallacious say a thing. For instance the number of a certain type always does not appear, forecast appear very likely the next time. Such idea is wrong, because be " gambler is fallacious " .

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