Outsider is done broke down, do a scram, all black boiler are him;
Had worked, all organizational system cliques are a proponent, gain political sth used to one's own advantage severally.
Sino-US a dispute rise from all directions. American bypass China, formed division of trade of 0 custom duty with Europe and Japan alone, the entrance product that both sides gives opposite party each other raises castigatory sex tariff.
This still perhaps is not the worst. The United States is passed and the trade agreement between Ou Rizhi, had formed pair of China surround, this is not short-term apparently, however the train of thought of protracted battle.
All these appears origin is not had from, happen after Telangpu appears on the stage. Began what Cong Kelin appears on the stage suddenly 1992, sino-US the relation between all the time not only it is commerce associate relation, it is even forward " the strategy is companionate " the relation is going, no matter be republic party president or president of the Democratic Party, this trend did not change almost.
Is the United States a democratic country? Be 3 authority schism? Be to news is supervised? They how can by move spy Lang Puru is this blind monkey business and do not impose control? Telangpu is nonofficeholding, did trade friction end?
The authenticity that chafes to Sino-US commerce is put in the illusion, perhaps think this is short-term buy gas only, this is a kind of almost general misunderstanding that diffuses in China, included many expert scholar and proprietor of an enterprise among them.
Just did not understand the United States because of them, include a lot of so called national condition of Chinese to study an expert.
The people
American does not know China.
Without what this is very strange. Because the Chinese also does not know the United States.
Do not think you saw so much Hollywood movie, beautiful perhaps theatrical work, perhaps listen to Katy Perry every day, you know the United States. Is the daily life that you know American middle class how? How do you know their village is run? How do you know the teacher in their school and student interact? How do you know their demonstration is organized? How do you know their police executes the law at ordinary times? How do you know the free press of their street is distributed? Even, how do you know they are drinking inside bar?
If you never thorough community, church, company, NGO, school... you know, it is a false United States.
So, same, average American, do not know China. The China that they know, it is the China in eye of media, book, movie and TV, expert.
Media of ▲ United States is represented -- times China accept (graph / graph bug originality)
Unfortunate is, the thing that American media should care is really too much, law&Order, it is the United States above all, law and order, politics, society, of little girl be missing, xin Pusen's killing, the star of super bowl. Next, it is a Jew, it is middle east next, it is ISIS next... , china, unless weigh big event, basically be in the back end position of layout.
The Chinese thinks he has been superpower, in newspaper end of the United States, china still is 3 edition the following news.
You enter an any bookshops, on the bookshelf that classifies by label in hundreds of, china occupies 1/3 probably bookshelf, still often share with Japan (those who be worth to comfort is, korea or India does not have even label even) . And sci-fi or kitchen skill, have two commonly 3 bookshelves.
The film? Be very sorry, the platoon of mainstream cinema piece in be impossible to have Chinese motion picture, of China big, resemble " battle wolf " of what, that is the thing that courtyard line does not see go up at all. Should seek Chinese film? Go becoming independent courtyard line, it is the place that small many movies broadcasts, general hundreds of seats, embrace wholesale or some, so a handful. Teleplay need not say at all, only the Chinese's channel just has.
Basically this is all channel of American understanding China. Believe all American to China it is reverberate like thunder, but what is the thing that you know they are the most familiar? Chairman Mao (Chairman Mao) , tao (path) , fengshui (geomantic) . About the same.
But this is irrespective. The American 2008 also knows these. Be what was changed so?
The condition that American place lives. The United States 2018 and the United States 2008 are not an United States.
Wall street of center of banking of ▲ new York (graph / graph bug originality)
The state of mind with current and main American has 3:
One of, review globalization.
Change even if begin of the thing from 2008. Second the problem that borrowing the crisis is home of an United States not just, and it is global problem. Second borrow crisis tear Clinton - new latitudinarian economic system of Gore, namely, the industrial catenary that tries to rely on globalization divides the work, establish the position of top of global biology catenary for the United States, make the United States enjoys the commerce interest of the whole world and bonus of science and technology thereby.
But this globalization is the globalization of one's own wishful thinking, in this process, the participator of every globalization is in upstream move about, outflow of capital outflow of the United States and service, manufacturing industry, make although the United States ranks world top firmly in Internet economy and industry of science and technology, but lower level stall, bring about aggravate of become divided of the rich and the poor, middle class embarrassment. That is to say, below dish flabby. Line of business of car, steely, service, these fundamental industries break down quickly, it is to mix contradict each other between comprehensive globalization.
The United States has not arrived formidably, perhaps say, from go up at all, its national dimensions and population dimensions, cannot support a development pattern that depends on Internet and science and technology completely. The division of globalization hold a memorial ceremony for of type saw Thoms Fulideman only American one side.
Right-wing Huntington is only early gave out wake world constant character, the United States will not be the United States of American. Can be left-wing do not listen. Then American chose the Telangpu that is willing to listen.
Review globalization to review China namely. So, must China of keep within limits. This is not the opinion of superstratum, this is the opinion of the Everyman that those lost ground floor to work. What although they also are being enjoyed,come from China is cheap commodity. But irrespective, cheap commodity also can come from Bengal, Indonesian or Chile.
Secondly, american dream is be between the beetle and the block.
What is American dream? Two things: One, the United States is global shelter. Anybody because any reasons (violate the law and commit crimes of if it were not for) , can come to the United States big forge, pursue oneself dream. 2, want to have a dream only, by right of effort, fine-looking, ability, originality... can realize oneself lifetime place to wish in the United States.
So you look, american dream is beautiful and flimsy, because it is conditional: The nation is prosperous, social flourishing. But split up when the rich and the poor,so acuteness, superstratum and lower level are broken up so, Internet and science and technology are such prosperity, globalization is such below the premise with indulge in wilful persecution, so weak economy, is American dream possible still?
American dream does not have a doorsill originally. " wind month pretty beautiful woman " inside how to say? " black swan " inside how to say? Have ambition, have a medium, have a dream, have lot. But now is " gregarious network " times, be " the wolf of wall street " times, you must be met write code, perhaps enter wall street, perhaps know new material of new energy resources.
The American dream that became a small number of people then. Come from stage hill wash clothes labour does not have an opportunity, a car ship-fitter that comes from Mexican city does not have an opportunity, a farmer that comes from Caribbean does not have an opportunity.
This is the American dream that was hijacked by Internet and science and technology, have the American dream of the American of 5% only. The dream broke.
Average American should contend for American dream.
Thirdly, return Masiluo's ground floor. Where is safety?
9 · are one begins 11. American is early lost safe sense. This kind of safe feeling has economy already, also have a war, still have a society. The be issued to lower levels that lower level lives in, terroristic be current, of force of American military affairs comprehensive hind remove, this caused the panic of American.
The United States is not a warlike nation. So every time external the military affairs acts, the probability that passes in congress is not high. But realistic American is very clear, stop with battle only battle, have a whole world the most powerful the most advanced army, ability achieves security quite. Martial strategy of the United States, from go up at all say, those who remain defence sex. This, even if be the most warlike defense minister on the history,pull Musifeierde, publish in in him " quarterly publication of diplomatic general affairs " in the article that go up, also emphasize again and again.
But, american military affairs exists, be challenged nowadays on four sides, in East Asia, in South Asia, in Caribbean, in middle east. American had felt without so big safety really.
Be not traditional and safe element to gave a problem to also stop, strategy of predestined relationship is in the ground is safe this from the framework that had formed after the Second World War, american already most likely, do they continue how possibly to believe Aobama - Hillary system?
The defense minister before ▲ United States pulls Musifeierde (graph / graph bug originality)
I once had said, american and Chinese are breathtaking on world outlook similar, it is the realist with thorough penetrative head. They do not believe human nature, do not believe apocalyptic, do not believe a country.
But American and Chinese have huge to differ on the heart. Through 5000 dynasty baptismal Chinese, early had lost Tong Zhen, but in American heart however under cover is extremely weird innocent with honesty. They believe apparently everything what look, representing the real intent of your heart.
Becoming him Chinese to say is superpower when, they believe so; The media when China cries one piece to the United States dozen cry when killing, they believe so; Resemble tidal water when Chinese product same afflux United States when, they felt fear.
This is the psychology of American. They fear him dream is broken already, also worry about robber.
What must they do.
Elite
The United States is one builds the nation on elite manage state affairs. New media make a noise about sth, democratization like a raging fire, the youth challenges traditional authority everywhere.
Everybody says very good, this ability is the United States that has energy. But they still believe elite manage state affairs. Star the Eight Diagrams is faddish on water, can not allow the country of rebel group convulsion on those new media on behalf of them.
So, themselves won't pretend special know China, because have nothing to do with, have the elite that knows China in the side they make policy decision-making. This also is a kind of agency system.
This is the most disturb reality: Chinese experts of the United States had held nihilism to China in the round.
The Sinology of ▲ United States everybody Fei Zhengqing (graph / network)
The Second World War grows the expert of a batch of China that rise, include Fei Zhengqing, Fitzgerald to wait, although have veiled word quite to Chinese system, but basically be to hold sympathize with and of friendly manner. The China 1972 breaks ice, be attributed to this batch of China to connect greatly long to China contain unabated support and warmth.
Clinton becomes the expert of a batch of China that grows after system also is such, they basically are Er of Ha Fo, Yale, Colombia, health Nai these east the brilliant student of East Asia institute of school of bank evergreen cane, also be heart of Fei of Fei Zhengqing, the Kingdom of Wei more these are pro-Chinese the handed from the master directly of the clique. The intellectual of a batch of China that goes out from China after World War II, include these famous expert when the Yang Lian Zuo , cloud that make Zhuo, Yu Ying, also teach at these schools, fostered a batch to have height to agree with the China of feeling to study an expert to Chinese culture and history.
In 20 years of in the past, these experts have deep affection and dedicated support to China. They basically agree with market economic system of China, drive Sino-US between more affable collaboration, even with right-wing fight, strive for larger international space for China.
However, wind direction changed now.
Yi Ming (Elizabeth Economy) it is American wisdom library the Asian lab director of foreign relations committee. She is do one's best is pro-Chinese clique. A fluent Chinese, once had visited China countless times, there are a lot of good friends in group of the academia, media and political circle. She even the environmental issue that countless times the ground discusses China, the target is the aggravation that hopes Chinese government can take an environment seriously.
But Yi Ming is anxiety-ridden however now, she worries about China present condition, will destroy before achievement of 30 old reforming and opening, crucial question is to appear the ambition that China had contention world hegemony. This has made Sino-US between peace gets along make a plan.
▲ breaths out Buddha university (graph / graph bug originality)
Robert Ross is the martial expert that haing Buddha university graduates, one of child of handed from the master directly. What held idea grasping in his lifetime is itself of Chinese military affairs be defence sex, the be a comprehensive expression of that the Great Wall is this kind of state of mind person. Great Wall strategy is martial strategy of China. Accordingly, american need not fear China becomes aggressor.
Ross is done not have in idea of the core in the article of the near future change, he puts blame on American body, think the United States transmitted the signal that wants China of keep within limits to China. But also admit even him: China's current movement, had been to was in Asia-Pacific area to spread out with the contention between the United States, this is the danger signal of bilateral relationship.
Such nihilism became China to study the main trend in expert circle. Those originally the person that yellow disaster is talked need not say (but I must say, run the expert of vigilant scared perhaps state of mind inherently to China, it is very little really, majority is not the scholar that gives priority to course of study with studying China is made) , the expert that runs indifferent manner originally repeatedly begins to be in doubt China generally.
There is a special topic on the homepage of committee of American foreign relations, be about " China makes 2o25 " , very hair-raising caption is: " why is everybody fed up with China to make 2o25? " . Depend on capability of export trade, technology badly to depend on exotic nation badly, and the country that economic growth of home has huge proportion is market of support exotic nation, allege the leader that should become manufacturing industry, this thing, always be perplexed and alarmed making a person.
On homepage of committee of foreign relations of ▲ United States about " China makes 2o25 " article
From the level of elite, they once supported Chinese cause, because China wants to get along with world peace,be, serve as ascensive platform with globalization, and be opened continuously, reform continuously, conform with the common market regulation of the world and viewpoint of value, increase their passion to Chinese traditional culture and hold in deep respect, make they became China embrace wholesale. But if they think China showed long and sharp teeth, want to become the competitor of their country, want to become the chief of the world even, with superpower pose as, so that old issue came:
The United States and China leave on trade problem dozen, which do you stand at the same time?
Which can you stand at the same time?
Political situation
Telangpu is the outsider of Washington.
All people know Telangpu does not have a friend in Washington. He is the person that come from the agitate bureau at business circles completely. This kind of circumstance is in the United States not to see more actually.
Begin from Reagan now almost all American presidents, be organizational system clique. So-called organizational system is sent, agree with clannish basic idea namely, and the cadre of a certain domain, major or district serves as inside political parties and groups, had undertaken long-term training.
Who is bureau wife so? Bush, gore, hillary.
All organizational system are sent, no matter be of which party, mutual between be the medium of communication that has a lot of, and a lot of things are a dot arrive to stop namely, take superabundant land. One says when facing voter, actually stage bottom trades to be gotten more very. General election when life-and-death, toast each other namely after general election.
The Hillary of ▲ delegate the Democratic Party and the Telangpu that represent republic party are in American president election fight hand to hand, as a result Telangpu laugh arrived finally (graph / graph bug originality)
Are this and Sino-US trade friction relative?
Actually two parties had early to Chinese worry and fear, and early form consensus. Go up in produce allowance problem, on the political wind direction that is in China, go up in network hacker problem, between two parties right China on policy, difference is dissident via very little. In fact, begin from 2016, on the processing that is aimed at Chinese problem, the accipitral clique of two parties had risen abruptly. This is not secret, check those who check United States Congress two years this is right China act, with respect to be clear at a glance.
But organizational system clique, namely those bureau wife dare not make big motion, can have a headache only foot of painful medical service of cure head base. Sino-US the commercial scale between is such big, economic each other knows pattern such deep, industrial catenary is wrung miscellaneous such complex, trade dispute should leave in the round really dozen, to the United States it is blessing after all it is disaster, who also cannot anticipate, which political parties and groups comes out to carry this crossbeam, work well of course everyone is happy, work bad it is plateful all is defeated. Presidential general election of 4 years is a good target, so big pot, the organizational system clique of which party dare be not carried.
Telangpu this loach comes in, of resort is not organizational system clique, however direct resort is rock-bottom, water direct and roily. Faction of republic party organizational system opposes Telangpu, but trashy, rock-bottom Telangpu arch went up.
The organizational system clique of this two parties loosened an air. Everybody need not carry this boiler on the back. Telangpugan is over the president goes back deal, but organizational system clique is mixed inside this big dye vat even. This rancorring China thing, had better an outside force comes in, so the consensus that two parties form has an export, everybody can let go do. Outsider is done broke down, do a scram, all black boiler are him; Had worked, all organizational system cliques are a proponent, gain political sth used to one's own advantage severally.
Is this the dark side of American politics? NO, this is the place of the wisdom of American politics. What organizational system clique defends is political tradition, assure political situation of whole United States not to turn over, no matter how the society is radical, organizational system clique is step-by-step from beginning to end; But, revolutionary force always is from exterior come, should have only enough much politics supports (force of the go canvassing outside constituency, courtyard, mass organizations, small political parties and groups) , so organizational system group can go according to the apiration of constituency.
▲ on Feburary 28, 2017, telangpu addresses on joint meeting of United States Congress (graph / graph bug originality)
Right China the happening that commerce chafes is such, two parties had formed consensus on China of keep within limits, but organizational system clique cannot start work; Then force of the go canvassing outside the courtyard, include industry of automobile manufacturing industry, energy, agriculture, military headquarters, all has much go canvassing power to be in a cup of Ge Zhongguo, the keep within limits that goes a few years is right China act, from turn over outflow of hacker of trade of dumping, agriculture, intellectual property, network, technology, early already an immense number of books, basically be biff namely in; Accumulated when these political force critical point, telangpu appears on the stage what to want the business that do, no more than releases the energy that these accumulating namely just.
So, not be Telangpu at all iron the heart should do this business, the force that is whole political situation should do this business. Plant with Telangpuna Cocky (madcap) disposition, he does not work, he does also should say, more what is more,the rather that he wants add inflammatory details to oneself strong show come out, accordingly, give the impression of alien, it is have to wants Telangpu and China makes a war on trade problem.
In fact, on the problem that Telangpu chafes in commerce, in those bill that submit to congress, which got block sluggish? All is high bank note is passed. Those are so-called assemblyman of friendly to China the Democratic Party, where to go to? What they still just are maintaining organizational system to send is missish, should restart to American future and China when negotiating, leave passageway of a green.
Either Telangpu should hit this to battle, be the United States is medium lower level people, it is whole elite estate, it is the political situation of party of republican of whole the Democratic Party, want to hit this to battle. Telangpu is an actor, his faithfulness ground, exaggerative even show " short-hilted broadsword is met " .
So, does the each other between this commerce rancor to be necessary really? Should be hit continuously really?
This is not the problem that this article should solve. But, when China entered a life 2001, once had had a word: More concessional, progress more.
Today, right still.
