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The steamer of Taiwan of island of a national treasure in coming from blocked the the Suez Canal up. Steamer comes from the long flourish group of Chinese Taiwan area, the name is " long grant " date.
Inside 24 hours, light of global oil market is card in the the Suez Canal the volume of the sources of energy of two end, 10 million pails of crude oil suffer an effect.
On March 24, a in high seas accused to be bungled to drop stop, haven is waterborne board piece whole dropped 2% . Harbor haven of the bureau that enrol business drops exceed 4% . Futures of crude oil of of the previous night rises greatly. Of the previous night of agreement of brunt of beautiful oily futures closes at every pails of 60.89 dollars, go up 5.42% , contract of brunt of cloth oily futures closes at every pails of 64.22 dollars, go up 5.64% .
In fact, as steamer bigger and bigger, each foundation of big haven on the world builds some to did not follow to go up now. This the Suez Canal " add " , more resembling is a below this big setting small disturbance.
Whether does crude market react excessive?
Of be the first to be affected is crude oil. Nevertheless the market may react excessive.
Financial times is commented on, in " long grant " break down 24 hours in the the Suez Canal inside, light of global oil market is card in the the Suez Canal the volume of the sources of energy of two end, 10 million pails of crude oil suffer an effect.
According to analyst of market of IHS Markit energy Marshall Sidifusi, suffocate suffocate of the Suez Canal " produced tremendous effect to crude market " , although it " the mainest carriage line that is not crude oil " .
The international of Colliers of professional service company supplies catenary expert Chris Evans to express, 24 hours after going aground are the key that decides long-term effect. If wadi jams,exceed 24 hours, steamer is likely must change its course circuitous Africa, this means sailing time to will extend a week.
Namely, if continue to block up, steamer people the likelihood must have gone to look at horn.
An official shows Egypt mobile this steamer needs time a few days, because need keeps clear of first,bring about the sand with hard and fast steamer.
If be 3 days two when say according to Egypt official can be done,decide, that is more finite to the influence of market whole, oil price develops a big probability to want fall after a rise.
If crossed a week to do adventitious, the core attention of the market may diffuse to go up to the goods that transports from the the Suez Canal entirely from oil price, the trend that rise in price can spread to all sorts of resource and consumable from oil.
Still can affect container.
The the Suez Canal suffers also make in short supply container originally farther in short supply. Data of Liner Research Services shows, the container ship transport power of 30% should pass the whole world the Suez Canal.
From 2020 second half of the year begins, as Euramerican wait for economic system solution to seal restart economy, demand rebounds, bring about container transport power to be not worth apparently.
March the middle ten days of a month, ken Hoexter of analyst of carrying trade of bank of United States of Peng rich cite says. "The tight situation of container will last to this year at least in year, later even. Extremely small container stock, american haven is embraced, keep be versed in during Chinese Spring Festival, and do obeisance to the stimulative plan that scales 1.9 trillion dollar, will enlarge container to be in short supply further " ,
"Although the crop of new container increases ceaselessly, the circumstance also wants to just will improve June, at the appointed time vaccinal have an inoculation will alleviate epidemic situation, container begins carry back China " , in Mai Bailiang of market group president expresses at the beginning of March.
Can be what moment solved " " problem?
Zhou Yi sees reason. If be no good, wait for half month again.
Song poem amounted to Peng rich cite 2012 assist say with Nick Sloane of controller of trouble removal of date strike a reef, to weekday or when Zhou Yichun tide comes, hopeful of depth of water of the Suez Canal increases 46 centimeters, this meeting brings larger space for rescue work.
But if at the appointed time the opportunity passed, and the circumstance still did not alleviate, so right the influence of channel traffic is met more flooey. Sloane expresses, again the next time flood wants when after 12-14 day.
The the Suez Canal is true " the enemy " : Low oil price
Actually, in recent years, because the current cost of the the Suez Canal is higher and higher, and international oil price is long-term and depressed, many shipping companies simply detour is good look at horn.
Come nearly 5 years, world crude price appears twice to dive greatly, oil price is low fan. March 2020 portion international crude oil period price is cruel drop to negative worth, "The bucket is more expensive than oil " speak the words are still ringing in one's ears.
May 2020, according to Alphaliner of shipping advisory orgnaization a recent report shows, "Close paragraph there are more than 20 at least since time inferior - Europe or Asia - of line of bank of American the East China Sea it is good to exceed large container boats and ships to choose to circle boat south Africa and rather than looking at horn passes a the Suez Canal.
The expert of marine domain Laersi · assist official (Lars Jensen) , had calculated brushstroke Zhang, the pike of the the Suez Canal is between 10 thousand dollars of 40-50, the fuel expenses of detour wants 200 thousand dollar only probably. Such come saying, the the Suez Canal closes temporarily the likelihood is short-term inside cause freight wave motion, but in be affected for a long time and imagining so big.
Since 2021, as epidemic situation gradually stable, vaccinal big range is vaccinal, the market confidence of all trades and professions restores gradually, petroliferous country reduction of output, oil price begins to anabiosis.
However, on March 24, accompany European epidemic situation to upgrade, situation of epidemic situation of middle east area is grim, synchronism of oil price of venture market, international suffers heavy defeat, international oil price drops nearly 6% .
During steeping fall, to bull character, this boat is hard and fast very " seasonable " . Much army be able to rally.
Can be you still blocked up after the the Suez Canal?
This hard and fast length gives number is a container ship. Container ship does not have internal board, engine room sets aft, hull is a giant warehouse actually.
Long giving number is the colossus that grows 400 meters, because assault deviate channel by blast, hull " horizontal " come over, final hard and fast the Suez Canal gets stuck it is in the center of wadi.
The width of the the Suez Canal is in 200-210 rice. It is below the ship is at present hard and fast on the canal the sketch map of the state:
2015, egypt new the Suez Canal is enlightened, the project includes the 35 kilometers river course of a new cut, a 37 kilometers old river course that widen and deepens. One-way channel instead two-way channel, the ship passes time from 22 hours considerably cut to 11 hours, the time that awaits be open to navigation or air traffic also by 8 to 11 hours cut to 3 hours.
Another world important canal, the the Big Ditch had been finished 2016 rebuild, basically be to make a the Big Ditch deeper, double the tonnage that final new the Big Ditch bears the weight of is old canal.
The reason of ceaseless nap depends on world main canal: Steamer is gianter and gianter.
January 2015, long flourish is marine Japan of make choice of flourish steamboat makes 11 20 thousand TEU container for its marine hire at growing. Long give number namely among them one of. In fact, in recent years, the ability on the world begins to appear of 20 thousand TEU exceed large steamer.
What TEU points to is foot of standard container, 25 stere control average volume, 17.5 tons are weighed.
400 meters long exceed large steamer to grow give number, length exceeded the number of the largest aircraft carrier Ford on eye preexistence bound. Ford number length 337 meters.
As we have learned, at present the surface width of the the Suez Canal goes to 280 meters in 345 meters between, the course width that is used at be open to navigation or air traffic is narrower, average width has 130 meters only. Even if the widest part is spent in water bizygomatic breadth, exceed large steamer to also can go continuously all the way only, do not have the space that change direction completely.
Actually, 2017, president of Mediterranean shipping company holds presiding apparitor concurrently Ben Deceng of A of alternate dagger · expresses, the capacity of container ship exceeds 20000TEU level unlikelily, because haven and whole supply catenary to went up to bear for this enormous pressure.
Each are at present big haven still is in the cargo ship of a capable berth 20000TEU, regard as a dominant position that merits conduct propaganda.
In April 2020, the Aerhexilasi below contemporary group division number is launched, han president Wen Zaiyin still attended his to name a ceremony, visible Korea builds the determination of marine powerful nation. Date is Aerhexilasi 23964TEU, full-length 400 meters, 61 meters wide, model deep 33 meters, become the world to go up existent the largest container ship.
On May 25, 2020, contemporary Aerhexilasi date is passed from the the Suez Canal first. Wusama Labia of chairman of canal management board guides navigator delegate to ascend a boat to express to welcome to crew together, issued a souvenir to the captain
Future, enter the water as more large ships, if the the Suez Canal does not raise the sentence of carrying capacity further, the likelihood still can appear " add " disturbance.
The the Suez Canal goes also by " " over-
On November 9, 2004, a tanker is hard and fast in road of voyage of Egypt the Suez Canal, bring about this join the Red Sea and Mediterranean important aqueduct to break down, the the Suez Canal interrupts 3 days, it is from middle east warlike hind comes nearly 30 years first suspend air or shipping service. Suspend air or shipping service makes about 70 ship stop in the canal two end.
And Bencisuyishi the canal breaks down accident, compare apparently last more serious.
2004 that, 100 thousand tons of tanker that leading role is Liberia book " Tropic Brilliance " . Jam time is 3 days.
This second " long give number " 400 meters long, 59 meters wide, carriage ability is 224 thousand tons. Jam time should exceed 3 days apparently. Dispatch in Egypt respect when tug is rescued, had had suffocate suffocate of ship of at least 100 contact.
Present circumstance is, epidemic situation dark clouds comes loose suddenly, include consumption, heavy goods inside content shedding demand is added suddenly, the container that the place of a large ship of responsible carriage commodity lades is increasing also, aggravate shipping has the state that block up. The Lars Jensen of an independent shipping expert of Denmark of NBC news cite says, the range that this the accident affects involves component of product of equipment of food, furniture, clothings, fitness, electron, car, "Basically include the pron any thing that you can see in the supermarket. "Basically include the pron any thing that you can see in the supermarket..
Who is accident responsibility square?
According to Reuter message, insurance message personage expresses, as a result of giant steamer goes aground in the the Suez Canal, ship-owner and insurance company will be faced with the claim for compensation of millions dollar.
And ship-owner, be not Taiwan to grow flourish group probably, however Japan flourish steamboat.
The long flourish that headquarters sets in Taiwan is marine the chartering person that is this boat, its express in an email, ever Given doubt is like suffer instantaneous blast to blow piece, create hull deviate course, accident sole is hard and fast.
According to the email statement of this company, the relevant unit such as the ship-owner that grows flourish to urge this boat and canal management board grinds draft plan, assist this annulus to take off promptly tired. One of ship-owner that be labelled Japan flourish steamboat rejects buy to judge.
" Japanese maritime news " introduce, long grant annulus it is Japan 11 when treat shipbuilding to be built to grow flourish today are the same as model container annulus the 7th medium, in September 2018 complete. Ship operation just grows flourish for Taiwan marine, management just is shipping of shellfish be an official to manage (Bernhard Schulte Shipmanagement) , hang Panama banner.
Japan ground transportation saves information to show, shipowner loves Yuan county for Japan flourish steamboat (Shoei Kisen) . Those who need a specification is, shipowner is the property right everybody of the ship only. In Japanese shipping " shipowner love Yuan " this one group is very eminent, they are contributive build each model merchantman, after start working sign with the shipping company before start working even rent a contract for a long time. After ship complete, by shipping company operation.
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