News analyst of presiding investment officer the door is peaceful:
If be deadline with 10 years, I can say clearly, the price of this house after 10 years meets same house certainly prep above ten thousand and one smooth. But how much can future go to, here is forecasted without method really, nevertheless I think to did not come 10 years house price is to run not to win a money to increase hair rate, reason is as follows:
1, the people of the whole country has a consensus, the house price that is now is put in bubble, a lot of worlds' famous investment Great Masters (for example Buffett) the room value that also sees empty China, but house price of China is very strong from beginning to end, look empty person by be hit all the time face. But rose 20 years continuously in the past, do not represent bubble nonexistent. Bit currency rises when 20 thousand dollar, nobody believes the person that fry money bubble will be broken, however bit currency value still steeped fall 70% .
2, although house price of China has bubble, but still be inside the limits that can accept. Before day this locality produces bubble burst, the land that sells Tokyo can buy next complete United States, china get on north now wide deep Hangzhou sell together, also buy no less than United States. Look from this angle, our bubble does not have out of control.
3, dissolve foamy means to have two kinds, thorn defeats bubble to perhaps digest bubble with time. From be restricted to make work at present be restricted to borrow be restricted to leave the policy that is restricted to sell to look, the purpose is to be locked up dead trade, chain the price. At present our nominal GDP is added fast in 8%-9% , 5-6 year can digest present bubble.
4, after be being melted away by disappear when bubble, house price still should rise as economy and rise.
So I think, if with 10 years of in the limit of, house price still wants to go up, year change go up a big probability run not to win a room to lend interest rate, but ten thousand and one smooth houses provide physical ability to go up to how many, really very it's hard to say. This and the city that the house is in, a sector of an area and the town planning that did not come are concerned.
