Does the possibility that is American be on the wane surmounted by other country have how old? The person that raises this question its intention is apparent, everybody also the heart knows abdomen bright. The answer rises actually very simple also. Wanting you to answer the decline that says the United States only is inevitable, it is time problem only. And say the United States can be surmounted by other country certainly then again, also be time problem only. I think, a lot of people can love to listen. But, is my inquisitive this time " after all " be how long? Moreover, everybody seemed to use a law when answering this question, this law is " fill extremely decline surely " . I want to put forward to discuss this issue. Whether be this law needs to have " contented " condition? Everybody can use United States of this law general " decline " , so, the issue came, namely this " mensurable " whether to still apply to that country that replaces the United States? Let us taking these problems to enter the next to discuss link together.
One, the time problem that the United States ebbs
Now, the United States has ebbed and after all cronk viewpoint has become consensus it seems that. People used mensurable, trend, hypothesis mostly when making this judgement. I looked a lot of about the United States decline is commented on, substantially is like the argument below, argument and logic. It is according to human society history of social development looks, the country can grow without which fill do not decline; The 2 debt that are the United States already were amounted to two, have bankrupt possibility at any time; 3 it is the United States it is to lean " dollar hegemony " prop up, if dollar " strong no longer " world each country abandons a dollar and perhaps use other money, the United States also was finished; 4 it is the United States be the weapon sells to get rich in relying on a war, if do not have a war, the United States also does not have money; 5 it is American place those who execute " the United States is preferential " policy has sufferred numerous country object, appear to already was isolated by the world, early social evening is abandoned wait a moment by the world.
We analyse these reason simply again, I do not object " fill extremely decline surely " this is mensurable, but I want those who explain is this law to establish need two conditions, namely exterior condition and in-house condition. The United States if decline and break down, in-house and regular meeting appears major problem, or is system and political situation appeared problem, or is the people's livelihood appeared problem. Mix from American system first for political situation, before paragraph time United States appeared the parade of the antiracism, was troubled by some of unpleasantness, still pop case is caused " hold accuse " gun problem, be unscrambled to be the height with American society and flabby political situation by a lot of people. Actually, these two things proved the United States is right fitly of the system hold to the esteem with law. Be? Parade is legal provision, does people appeal to through parading the complaint that releases his is mixed beg this to there is a problem? Since be to release, may resemble queueing up to shop sleek in that way? Of course, if do not allow parade, order is natural also won't random. Pop case caused casualties of a lot of innocent civilian really, make a person distressed. But this also can be not solved inside short time, of course, of times of the Iraq that if be in,Syria, Iran, Venezuela and Sa amount to Mu times, Ka Zafei Libyan these countries, that affirmation can be solved between one night, the leader because of them make fall can " accuse a gun " . But, be no good in the United States, because the United States is state-owned must importunate law and system. The United States " accuse a gun " have two reasons hard. One is itself problem of law, 2 it is the original idea problem that has a gun, the original idea that the United States allows to have a gun is to make individual dignity does not suffer " public right force " enroach on. If changed easily " have a gun " system, inevitable meeting shakes legislative foundation of the United States. So, the United States is in impossibly short-term inside solve this problem. This also is the United States those who hold to system and law reflect. Moreover, american system and law are to be aimed at everybody, non-privileged person, for instance American president Nixon is investigated and be forced to resign inside lieutenancy. Reagan's president because " Iranian door " had been investigated, clinton's president because " slide fastener door " had been investigated, telangpuyin " the door that connect Russia " be being investigated. It is stable and OK to be mixed strictly with what will this prove American system?
We again for the problem of the people's livelihood that says the United States, telangpu appeared on the stage to implement a chain of exciting economic policy, is the effect as follows: ? The statistical data of? month says, the United States the unemployment rate April is 3.9% , be since December 2000 new low. The United States is confederative the profit April is 214 billion dollar, achieve since 1968 new tall, other economy index all has grow and rise. The people's livelihood that this at least can prove the United States is current does not have a problem! Since system and the people's livelihood still do not have a problem at present, the interior that shows the United States then still is not had " fill extremely and decline " in-house condition!
Will talk about the United States again " fill extremely and decline " exterior condition. American first policy of Telangpu brought bad influence to international figure of the United States really. But the word says, the feel well of American international figure of times of assorted of Aobama, little cloth? In the eye of a few countries American figure does not have feel well. Telangpu is exited " Parisian climate agreement " and " Iranian nucleus agreement " the reputation that affected the United States really, also suffer a lot of states object, include American ally. But, this tries to discriminate. Ying Fade the inconsistent quality of these countries and United States is the interest respect such as economy only, is not problem of viewpoint of value. Do you think these countries can be mixed American complete break with? Apparent won't. Since won't, that United States is isolated say that he cannot hold water. The mainest is the science and technology that has with the United States and martial actual strength, does other country have from exterior the United States " force " the actual strength that break down? Say so, the United States was not satisfied now " fill extremely and decline " inside and outside two conditions.
The problem such as American decline and the hypothesis that break down, trend talks below again. The problem such as the dollar that for instance people often mentions, army carry out. Someone says the dollar is hegemony, the United States relies on a dollar to get rich namely. This kind of view lacks the basiccest common sense. Rome is not one day building, the dollar also is not to build what go up in dune, the backside of the dollar has a lot of factor such as order of regulation of actual strength of education, science and technology, economy, trade, finance, stable system prop up. Somebody always can be mentioned go the dollar is changed, if go,say dollar, that United States can break down. But, is this easy? If easy, japan goes early dollar, if easy, the European Union goes early also dollar. They cannot go dollar, because they did not prop up the actual strength of own money,be. Also have go of the dollar, for instance Venezuela, also preparation goes of the dollar, for instance Iran. If they are not by the have no way out of American punish, can they leave dollar system actively? Say so, dollar strong that is the actual strength because of its backside and foundation, is not below the bodyguard of firearm actuate imprints bank note machine is so simple. Because come nearly a few years, american firearm just made a few a few states such as Iraq, Libyan, Afghanistan, Syria, Panama, it was not taking firearm to forcing other country uses a dollar, can why is other country still used? Nature is mixed regularly here the value of dollar itself. About debt problem of the United States, I want to say, below economic society condition, debt both neither can avoid, also be the form that exciting economy grows and method at the same time, which country is put in this problem (of course, Kuwait except of this kind of country) , it is number size problem only, the recessive debt of some countries is not little also. Liability amount of the United States really very tremendous, achieved two. But, the United States also is not cannot bear, also can not break down because of this of course. Often if the United States returns external debt,someone can say, the United States also went bankrupt, actually, is this likely? Come, since borrow, that can be returned. Creditor people won't also always give the United States " vivosphere " ? Retreat 10 thousand paces to tell, the United States' annual GDP also has 20 trillion, if American people also if tighten waist of trousers is taken, 5 years can does delay cross interest to come? Which country self-confidence can surmount the United States in the round in lustrum? Again for the problem of army carry out that says the United States. Someone says the United States is sending warlike money all the time. So the United States the production battle with constant ability, but what I want to say is, is the whole world selling a weapon with respect to the United States? Besides, american weapon also does not sell casually, nevering mention it is Iran, the ally Turkey that is it wants to buy its weapon, it also won't sell casually. Like Iran, Syria these countries want to buy, but, does the United States sell? In other words, if who thinks warlike money is good,get rich, that all also can sell! Say so, the United States relies on what the war will get rich to say merely also is not very adj.
The place on put together is narrated, the United States ebbs and break down still need time it seems that. With at present American feasibility condition is analysed, estimation is in 30 or the possibility that breaks down inside 50 years is not large. Since not be now, why does that mix time again energy " gamble " can you break down certainly in the United States above? Is sureness done strong are oneself better?
2, the situation after the United States is surmounted
If the United States broke down, that affirmation has a reason. Also agreed " fill extremely and decline " theory. If the United States is surmounted, that explains the United States was not being done good external internally. Where is the teachs this United States that be surmounted a lesson country derive of that United States? What if ascend,do after the top is bad, can also you fall again like the United States? So, resemble mountaineering same, be about to think good leeway before ascend. Cannot treat one ahull condition to enter peak merely with respect to leave it at that. Oneself always come down than falling strong!
